bschr682 wrote:
Seems to me you disproved your own point by posting that list. Nearly all of the players that look interesting at all did bump and I highly disagree that a handful of years of BBA service time on the backend of some losing teams roster equates to not a crap shoot.
The draft as a whole is a crapshoot. All drafts are. Way too many variables including health. You just do everything you can to improve your odds and then you make some animal sacrifices or something and see what happens.
The only guys on that list that have had any significant talent bumps (a point or more of Stuff/Mov/Cont-Con/Pow/Eye) are Harris (velo +5, Mov +1, Con +1), Luna (velo +3), and Archer (velo +7). Darcy and Jordan have had their current abilities slightly surpass their potential, causing the potential to cosmetically go up (3 power to 4 for Darcy, 5 contact to 6 for Jordan).
I agree that finding a top half of the rotation/closer/all-star hitter is a crapshoot after the top 50 picks. Sure, there's risk/uncertainty involved in the draft; hell, there's risk/uncertainty involved with ANY roster move. However, I do think you can have a plan for drafting after round 3 that is substantially better than auto picking. It is very possible to find good depth players (platoon hitters, UTL/defensive subs with capable bats, #5 starters/middle relievers, etc). Plus, guys like the ones listed above are great sweeteners in trades. They can stand out above other 1* players.