Can Thum hit the Big 4000 as he approaches the Big 40?

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Can Thum Make It to 4000 Hits?

Yes, he'll join (or start) the 4,000 hits club!
0
No votes
He'll get past the Bopper but not to the magic number.
0
No votes
He'll fall a little short (3700 to 3800), like his Godfather, Ron Collins, and the Brewster.
6
55%
He's probably projecting to a Top 10 career, 3500 or so hits.
4
36%
Thum's ready to bruise his, well, Thum (falls short of 3500).
1
9%
 
Total votes: 11

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Trebro
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Can Thum hit the Big 4000 as he approaches the Big 40?

Post by Trebro » Mon Jul 31, 2023 11:55 pm

As we wrap up the 2055 season, one of the few bright spots for the Nine was Thum remaining strong at the plate. He's now up to 3214 career regular season hits, good for 19th all time.

But how much further he can go, as he moves into his age 38 season? He's a generational talent and a sure-fire Hall of Famer (and signed though his age 41 season). The question is--how much longer can he keep up a close to full season hitting in the .275 to .300 range?

In other words - can he get another 786 hits to go to 4000? 687 to top the Bopper? Or a bit less?

What say you?
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Re: Can Thum hit the Big 4000 as he approaches the Big 40?

Post by jiminyhopkins » Tue Aug 01, 2023 10:35 am

Based on how quickly SC3 fell off, I'm not too optimistic.
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Re: Can Thum hit the Big 4000 as he approaches the Big 40?

Post by Trebro » Tue Aug 01, 2023 11:27 am

jiminyhopkins wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 10:35 am
Based on how quickly SC3 fell off, I'm not too optimistic.
That is definitely a possibility. I've obviously banked on him not sucking completely based on the extension.
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Re: Can Thum hit the Big 4000 as he approaches the Big 40?

Post by Trebro » Tue Aug 01, 2023 11:30 am

Now that there's been some time I voted as well. My heart would love to see him get to 3901 but that would require playing at his current level right to age 41 and be able to play a backup role for 2 years after that. As much as I'd love it I don't see it

I do think getting to 3700 is very doable (average 125 hits over 4 years.

Barring a major injury, I think 3500 is a lock.
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Re: Can Thum hit the Big 4000 as he approaches the Big 40?

Post by jiminyhopkins » Tue Aug 01, 2023 11:52 am

Trebro wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 11:27 am
jiminyhopkins wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 10:35 am
Based on how quickly SC3 fell off, I'm not too optimistic.
That is definitely a possibility. I've obviously banked on him not sucking completely based on the extension.
Definitely hope Thum does it for you. I was more lamenting my own situation with an ageing, popular HOFer. SC3 WAR the last 3 yrs: 7.4, 3.6, 0.7. I wouldn't wish that on anyone. Now I gotta decline the TO and face the wrath of Fan Interest.
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Re: Can Thum hit the Big 4000 as he approaches the Big 40?

Post by Trebro » Tue Aug 01, 2023 12:13 pm

jiminyhopkins wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 11:52 am
Trebro wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 11:27 am
jiminyhopkins wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 10:35 am
Based on how quickly SC3 fell off, I'm not too optimistic.
That is definitely a possibility. I've obviously banked on him not sucking completely based on the extension.
Definitely hope Thum does it for you. I was more lamenting my own situation with an ageing, popular HOFer. SC3 WAR the last 3 yrs: 7.4, 3.6, 0.7. I wouldn't wish that on anyone. Now I gotta decline the TO and face the wrath of Fan Interest.
Oh yeah that's a really rough situation that I'm hoping I can avoid. But I couldn't let Thum end his career elsewhere. Imagine if he'd signed with Nashville! *shudder*
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Re: Can Thum hit the Big 4000 as he approaches the Big 40?

Post by RonCo » Tue Aug 01, 2023 12:44 pm

I think his most likely peak is in the high 3500s or low 3600s.
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