After the loss of their ace, Lúcio Juárez , for six weeks, Montreal went shopping. Word on the street is that they aren't done, but they have brought home the first item from their shopping trip. Cape Fear had waived starting pitcher Liam Johnston. He is on the last guaranteed year of a three-year c...

This was great. One question: What model vintage Cadillac is that?

Lúcio Juárez had to be removed from his last start in the sixth inning with shoulder pain. He was later diagnosed with a rotator cuff strain and is expected to miss six weeks. https://statspl.us/brewster/reports/news/html/images/person_pictures/player_58214.png Lúcio Juárez Juárez, 33, has been the...

BaseClogger wrote: ↑

Sun Jun 15, 2025 2:15 pm

Kahil seemingly should be striking out more.

He is certainly exceeding my expectations. I'm not complaining.

With over one third of the 2063 season in the books, Montreal has a precarious hold on first place in the fiercely competitive Atlantic division, leading Charm City by one game and defending Johnson League champion Charlotte by three games. If Pythagoras had his way, the Blazers' lead would be three...

BaseClogger wrote: ↑

Thu Jun 12, 2025 4:00 pm

Boy, politics hasn't changed a bit since then.

If only that were true.

Fun Facts: I worked for Ross Perot's Electronic Data Systems in Dallas. EDS ID.jpg My ex and I attended a late night welcome home gathering of EDS employees at a private room in DFW when Ross returned from Iran with the EDS hostages and Col. Bull Simons. Ross spoke at length about how they pulled it...

This is a solid piece of advice, but this is a simpler price/demand curve, not the Laffer curve. (For price-demand, it helps if you think of two competing lines making an X - center of the X is optimized). Please see my post about the microeconomics of ticket prices here: The Microeconomics of Gate...

Now let’s consider how total revenue changes over the length of the demand curve. Let’s begin with a typical demand curve: apples.jpg.png Consider the area under the curve at different price points. You can simply count the boxes. You will see that the area under the curve (total revenue) peaks at a...

When demand is relatively inelastic (steeper = high Fan Loyalty), an increase in ticket prices from P1 to P2 will yield greater total revenue. You can see this in the comparative sizes of the areas under the curve, P2 x Q2 > P1 x Q1. inelastic.jpg When demand is relatively elastic (less steep = low ...

It’s time for a lesson in applied microeconomics. I taught Advanced Placement Microeconomics for many years; it is a rigorous course that is comparable to the introductory course for economics majors in college. Most of you will be familiar with the concept of a demand curve. They are typically down...

Minor league teams wax and wane according to the talent that flows through their parent organization. If the organization has a particularly rich draft, that bubble of talent may ripple through the system, temporarily favoring one level and then the next. Of course, an especially bleak draft may hav...

Most of us are familiar with the Laffer Curve, made famous during the Reagan administration in support of its tax cuts. Developed by Arthur Laffer, it shows the relationship between tax rates and total tax revenue as a bell curve. Reagan asserted that our country was on the right side of the maximum...

The revised release is now available.

Blazers left fielder Manny Burgus , 23, was honored by the Johnson League as their Player of the Week. For the week, Burgus hit .440 with four doubles, two triples, three homers, five RBIs, and seven runs scored. In his second season in the BBA, the reigning Yogi Zimmer Diamond Glove winner is hitti...

Not liking the +4.00 mERA across the board There are two issues with this release. First and foremost is that the projections are too flat. Let me explain my diagnosis. Tango uses a technique to regress the projections to the league mean. With batters, his formulae are well documented. It involves ...

Here are the Marcel projections for pitchers. It uses a weighted average of the last three seasons with some regression to the mean and an adjustment for age. *** Revised *** See my previous post with the batter projections for more on the methodology: http://montybrewster.net/forums/viewtopic.php?f...

Banuelos might not move so fast. He’s got a lot of development ahead of him. Garcia looks like the quick riser. This was not intended to suggest that he would arrive in the BBA first, only that I do not expect his stay in rookie ball to be long. I expect Bañuelos, with his year of JuCo experience, ...

Montreal announced today that they had signed 18 of the 20 players that they selected in the recent amateur draft. Negotiations with the other two, left-handed pitcher Harumi Koda (round 15) and right-handed pitcher Justin Ocasio (round 19), have been discontinued; it is expected that they will atte...

I implemented the calculations in Excel. Since then, I discovered that there is Python source code available from Jeff Sackmann on GitHub if you want to play with it. https://gist.github.com/JeffSackmann You'll want generateBattingMarcels and generatePitchingMarcels. Jeff Sackmann is an author and s...