2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

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2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by jleddy » Sun Nov 10, 2019 3:16 am

Just a reminder of a few notes about what you'll see below:
  • Ratings (OVERALL/POTENTIAL) are as of July 28, 2040
  • 2040 WAR figures are through July 28, 2040 and projected out for the rest of the season
  • Salary figures in grey italics are projected arbitration totals
  • Players selected in the 2040 First Year Draft were not considered for the list due to lack of professional experience
Part I: #50-#41

We continue our run-through the list, today looking at #40-#21, with the top twenty to be unveiled Monday evening:

- - - - - - - - - -
#40 - John Hale, Madison, C 65/65
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038233.2$500,000
2039242.5$500,000
2040254.2$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2043
REMAINING CONTRACT: $15,800,000
REMAINING AAV: $5,266,666


One of only two catchers to make the Top 50 (only one backstop make the list last year), Hale is the rare combination of a young, cost-controlled catcher that is competent both offensively and defensively. On his fourth team in three years, the two-time All-Star still has a few years left in his rookie deal, something rebuilding Madison can build the team around or trade additional help.


#39 - Xavier Rangel, New Orleans, RF 55/55
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203820--minor leagues
2039210.4$500,000
2040225.2$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $21,400,000
REMAINING AAV: $4,280,000


A two-time top-100 rated prospect, the diminutive (5'9", 155) outfielder was named to the All-Star team in his rookie campaign, a nice follow-up to his 5.1 WAR season last year in AAA. Despite an average offensive profile, Rangel's skills stem from his efforts in the outfield, where he can play all three positions at a well-above average level, and on the base paths, where he flashes elite speed and base running skills. Scouting reports suggest he may be playing over his head, but a capable CF who can put up 30/30 seasons will always be highly sought after, especially when still on their rookie contract.


#38 - Manuel Martinez, Jacksonville, 1B 70/70
PREVIOUS RANK: 22

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038234.9$500,000
2039244.3$500,000
2040254.1$4,750,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2042
REMAINING CONTRACT: $16,000,000
REMAINING AAV: $8,000,000


When you have a .911 OPS season and it's deemed a disappointment, like Martinez had in 2039, you know you've got an impressive reputation as a hitter. As mentioned in last year's edition, "the Hurricanes will want to see more offensive growth from Martínez or his value will continue to diminish as he approaches free agency" and that is were we are today. Martinez is a very, very good first baseman, but not elite and he only has two years left of team control and you can expect him to cash in on his next contract.


#37 - Sergei Hopkins, San Fernando, SP 60/70
PREVIOUS RANK: 28

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038213.7$500,000
2039224.2$500,000
2040232.4$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2043
REMAINING CONTRACT: $14,500,000
REMAINING AAV: $4,833,333


"The Russian Rocket" is on-pace to fall short of last year's breakout season but is still a tasty morsel should he hit the trade market. Hopkins has yet to make an All-Star team through his first three full seasons in the BBA but that should change soon, as he has an impressive mix of pitches and skill and scouts believe he still has another level of growth which San Fernando would love to see in the last three years of his rookie contract. If there is a lesson to be learned, it's simply this: raise your sons to be lefty starting pitchers in the Brewster.


#36 - Chris Kelly, Jacksonville, SP 70/75
PREVIOUS RANK: 36

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038265.3$9,120,000
2039274.7$15,730,000
2040286.8$15,730,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2044
REMAINING CONTRACT: $62,920,000
REMAINING AAV: $15,730,000


Kelly's AAV is second-highest amonst the Top 50, however he's still in his 20s, so the risk is considerably lower than Dan Cannon, or other high-paid star pitchers in the league north of thirty years old. Kelly finally made his first All-Star nod this season and expect many more to come with his elite skillset atop the mound. Locked up with a maximum six year extension before the 2039 season by Twin Cities, Jacksonville traded for him at last year's deadline.


#35 - Miguel Rodríguez, Las Vegas, SS 65/65
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038261.7$500,000
2039273.8$750,000
2040285.8$3,200,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2042
REMAINING CONTRACT: $14,700,000
REMAINING AAV: $7,350,000


Rodríguez's appearance in the Top 50 will probably be his last unless he continues his breakout season and builds on it in the first-half of 2041. With just two years of team control left after this year and average offensive skills, the defensive whiz will likely see his trade value drop as he approaches 30 but remains a key contributor in Las Vegas thanks to his outstanding defensive ability all over the infield, as well as high on-base skills and excellent foot-speed.


#34 - Ángel García, San Fernando, SS 80/80
PREVIOUS RANK: 37

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038243.8$3,820,000
2039256.1$3,820,000
2040267.6$3,820,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2046
REMAINING CONTRACT: $95,400,000
REMAINING AAV: $15,900,000


San Fernando has enjoyed García's services thanks to a nifty three-year extension signed before the 2038 season. In those three years, García has been named to the All-Star team twice and is putting up an MVP-caliber season in 2040. The power-hitting and plus-defensive middle infielder from Mexico will see his value dip once his new six-year extension kicks in next season, but as one of the league's superstars, any team would be happy to pencil García in near the top of their lineup.


#33 - Bing-de Zhào, Rockville, 2B 60/80
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203818--minor leagues
203919--minor leagues
204020--minor leagues
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2047
REMAINING CONTRACT: --
REMAINING AAV: --


An international free agency signee in 2037, Zhào was quickly named the #9 prospect later that year. One year later, Zhào was considered the top prospect in the minors and in two-plus seasons of professional ball, the Taiwanese infielder has shown promise. Zhào's natural position is 1B, which makes him less desirable but still valuable, however Rockville is giving him a chance to stick at 2B, where the results are less than desirable. Regardless of where he ends up on the diamond, Rockville has a future elite talent on the verge of making the bigs.


#32 - Quinton Lara, Charm City, C 60/60
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203819--minor leagues
203920--minor leagues
2040215.4$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $17,600,000
REMAINING AAV: $3,520,000


When you're a catcher who can hit north of .340 as a rookie, does it really matter what your defensive chops are? Lara has shown to be average behind the plate in the minors, but it's his bat that made him the #8 selection in the 2037 draft. Lara's batting line is likely to regress for the rest of the year, but it's still a sign that he's a young, talented prospect whose value can really help a franchise over the course of their rookie contract.


#31 - Brett White, Jacksonville, RF 65/65
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038216.1$500,000
2039220.4$500,000
2040236.8$1,750,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2043
REMAINING CONTRACT: $20,600,000
REMAINING AAV: $6,866,666


Last year at time of printing the 2039 edition, White found himself ranked #51, just missing the Top 50 due to a horrific follow-up to his Gillstrom-winning sophomore campaign. All is right again with the left-handed hitting corner outfielder, on pace for 50+ HR and an OPS over 1.000, all well-deserving of his spot on this year's list. As a teenage amateur, White was an all-world talent but scouts downgraded him to merely "good". His 2038 and 2040 seasons are quieting the critics, but with just three years left of team control after this season, Jacksonville will want to get the most of our White and chase another Landis championship.


#30 - Liann-wei Mao, Calgary, 1B 70/75
PREVIOUS RANK: 20

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203821--minor leagues
2039224.5$500,000
2040232.8$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2044
REMAINING CONTRACT: $20,400,000
REMAINING AAV: $5,100,000


Expectations were high after Mao was voted an All-Star and won the Frick League Puckett at 1B as a rookie last year. 2040 hasn't been as kind after "The Chairman" missed nearly a month with a broken foot but his current .902 OPS is nothing to poo-poo. With elite bat skills and four more years of team control, the popular slugger has the looks of a franchise talent.


#29 - Alaric Wullenweber, Hawaii, SP 50/80
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203818--high school
203919--minor leagues
204020--minor leagues
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2047
REMAINING CONTRACT: --
REMAINING AAV: --


A second-round steal by Hawaii in the 2038 draft, the short German with the big name and bigger arm has ascended to the #2 prospect in the Brewster. Based on middling minor league numbers until this year, Wullenweber reputation has been boosted by scouting reports. If he can continue to improve in the next year or two, he should be ready to dominate for the Tropics for several team-controlled years at a great value.


#28 - Todd Rice, Seattle, CF 65/65
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203819--college
2039204.1$500,000
2040216.6$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $17,600,000
REMAINING AAV: $3,520,000


The fruits of the infamous 2038 Brewster Draft are starting to already pop up in the big leagues, and Rice, the 23rd-overall pick, is one of them. Few players can boast a projected collective WAR of over 10.0 in their first two seasons. Rice's profile is that of a multiple-time batting champion, doubles-hitting machine, and base-stealing menace. Oh, and how about elite defensive in centerfield? Rice is the very definition of "valuable".


#27 - Jim Armstrong, New Orleans, SP 70/80
PREVIOUS RANK: 24

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038211.7$500,000
2039224.7$500,000
2040232.6$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2044
REMAINING CONTRACT: $17,800,000
REMAINING AAV: $4,450,000


Armstrong boasts the pedigree of a generational talent: first-round draft pick (2035), top-ten prospect ranking (#7 in 2038), led the league in K/9 at age 22, and an elite three-pitch mix that could be the best in the entire Brewster. That all said, Armstrong has yet to put it all together; missing a month earlier this year didn't help his cause. But ask nearly any general manager in the league and they would call Armstrong one of the very best and valuable young pitchers the league has seen in the last ten years.


#26 - Juan Rivera, Atlantic City, RF 70/80
PREVIOUS RANK: 25

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203819--college
203920--minor leagues
2040213.2$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $18,900,000
REMAINING AAV: $3,780,000


Only two years removed from playing college ball, Rivera has already made it to the bigs and is holding his own in his rookie season. Rivera is the sort of five-tool talent front offices dream of. Atlantic City is not yet ready for prime time, but when they are, Rivera will be the cornerstone of the franchise. Rivera is an elite talent with as much value as he has promise.


#25 - Mario Barrera, New Orleans, 3B 65/65
PREVIOUS RANK: 19

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038224.2$500,000
2039236.1$500,000
2040243.5$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2043
REMAINING CONTRACT: $19,800,000
REMAINING AAV: $6,600,000


Barrera's summary in last year's list called him "one of the least exciting guys to make this list, as he wasn’t a hyped prospect and he doesn’t have super loud tools or a bunch of notable highlights." That was before winning the Johnson League Puckett Award at third base. Unfortunately, Barrera has failed to follow-up on his breakout season (although an .899 OPS is wonderful) and he'll see his salary drastically jump up in these last three years of arbitration, but he's still a solid option at a position that teams continually struggle to find long-term solutions.


#24 - Ernesto Ramos, Yellow Springs, SP 60/70
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038233.2$500,000
2039244.2$500,000
2040256.7$850,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2042
REMAINING CONTRACT: $11,000,000
REMAINING AAV: $5,500,000


Ramos is under two more years of team control thanks to a nice two-year contract extension buying out the final years of arbitration. His breakout 2040 is one reason why Yellow Springs finds themselves with the second-best record in the league. Thanks to an elite set of pitches, Ramos will be highly sought after in the 2043 free agent market. Until then, he's both a critical player in the Nines' quest to finally take home a Landis trophy, as well as a valuable trade chip should Yellow Springs want to move him in the next two years.


#23 - Júlio Barajas, Rockville, RF 60/70
PREVIOUS RANK: 39

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203817--high school
2039183.7$500,000
2040194.6$850,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $22,100,000
REMAINING AAV: $4,420,000


Moving up in the rankings isn't easy, as it requires a player to provide outstanding production to off-set the one less year of team control and a likely salary increase in arbitration. Barajas, another darling from the 2038 draft class, put up nearly 4.0 WAR in less than 80 games. Go ahead, re-read that, take a cold shower and come back...I'll wait. His follow-up this year isn't as impressive but it's still on a pace for over 4.0 as a teenager. The offensive wunderkind has tons of potential and remains one of the most valuable players in the Brewster.


#22 - Eru Likiliki, Nashville, SP 60/70
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2038213.7$500,000
2039225.3$500,000
2040233.5$1,050,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2043
REMAINING CONTRACT: $15,900,000
REMAINING AAV: $5,300,000


Likiliki's scouting reports are a mixed bag, but the flame-throwing sidearmer gets the most out of his stuff and diverse pitch arsenal. One red flag is his medical history, but as long as he's making starts every five days, the Bluebirds will take what they can squeeze out of the Samoan hurler. "Doodles" is likely to make oodles on the free agent market in a few years, but until then, Nashville has themselves an interesting pitcher profile and one heck of a trade asset, if needed.


#21 - Ronnie Hubbard, Louisville, CF 65/65
PREVIOUS RANK: 33

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203819--college
2039205.6$500,000
2040216.7$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2044
REMAINING CONTRACT: $24,400,000
REMAINING AAV: $6,100,000


Oh, look...another product from the 2038 Mega-Draft. Through his first two years, Hubbard has put up incredible numbers but scouts believe his profile is nothing spectacular offensively. Hubbard makes up for it with deft base running (on pace for 58 steals this season) and outstanding defense in both left and center. That said, Hubbard is currently hitting .343 and likely to hit over 30 HR for s second straight season. With make-up off the charts, Hubbard continues to out perform the scouts and remains one of the more valuable and fun players to follow in the Brewster.
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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by usnspecialist » Sun Nov 10, 2019 3:29 am

interesting list so far. I will note that #37 and #31 were in fact traded with each other as minor leaguers.
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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by CTBrewCrew » Sun Nov 10, 2019 6:39 am

Good stuff especially for a newbie - gives some needed history to players (even my own)
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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by RonCo » Sun Nov 10, 2019 8:22 am

Jonesing for the next set. :)
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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by jleddy » Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:41 pm

RonCo wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2019 8:22 am
Jonesing for the next set. :)
Any guesses (open to everyone, of course) as to who makes the top five?

Last year:

#5 - David Simpson
#4 - Steven Collins III
#3 - Semei Kwakou
#2 - Hector Marquez
#1 - Dennis French

[Spoiler alert...the top spot this year is not occupied by Dennis French!]
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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by RonCo » Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:47 pm

Having played in that game last year a bit, I know how tough it is to make this kind of call, but I'd think Aaron Haney is going to be up there pretty well.
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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by JimBob2232 » Sun Nov 10, 2019 1:12 pm

Alex Ramirez has to be up there.
Check out sureveymonkey for my trade block (Last updated 12/7/2018)

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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by usnspecialist » Sun Nov 10, 2019 1:17 pm

Haney is a good bet, tchkenov will be up there too.
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Johnson League Southern- 34
Frick League Pacific- 37, 39
,Wild Card- 33, 35, 36

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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by HoosierVic » Sun Nov 10, 2019 1:55 pm

jleddy wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:41 pm
RonCo wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2019 8:22 am
Jonesing for the next set. :)
Any guesses (open to everyone, of course) as to who makes the top five?

Last year:

#5 - David Simpson
#4 - Steven Collins III
#3 - Semei Kwakou
#2 - Hector Marquez
#1 - Dennis French

[Spoiler alert...the top spot this year is not occupied by Dennis French!]
Lorenzen? He’s up to .186!

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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by jleddy » Sun Nov 10, 2019 2:21 pm

HoosierVic wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2019 1:55 pm
Lorenzen? He’s up to .186!
He just missed the list at #52, sandwiched between Jon Reed and Hakim Ngowa. :cool:
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Re: 2040 BBA Trade Value Series: #40-#21

Post by Lane » Sun Nov 10, 2019 3:07 pm

usnspecialist wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2019 1:17 pm
Haney is a good bet, tchkenov will be up there too.
Tchekanov has got to be up there for sure.
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