Tater Talk: 2044.005 – 2044 Boise Projections: Pitching

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Tater Talk: 2044.005 – 2044 Boise Projections: Pitching

Post by jleddy » Sun Sep 06, 2020 3:59 am

Image Taking a page out of team previews by the likes of Niles and Recte, we'll look at season projections, both offense and pitching, which will provide valuable -- both in participation points and roster management analysis -- season-end reviews.

2044 Boise Projections: Pitching

ROTATION
NAMEIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9
Miguel Ramos2103.901.158.52.2
Robin Cooper2104.101.254.32.7
Kent Montoya1804.301.225.52.1
Dominic Lawrence1504.401.195.52.5
Leroy Hoffman804.501.227.52.1
Eugenio Asseldonk704.001.216.32.2
Gerardo López504.001.248.13.0
The trade to acquire Ramos was huge, adding a established workhorse veteran to lead a young, if not shaky, rotation. The Spuds aren't expecting a 2043 repeat out of Ramos (3.33 ERA, 1.02 WHIP) but his track record suggests he's still an ace heading into his Age 33 season. The only defense last year better than Boise's was Ramos previous club in Sacramento, so he'll continue to thrive as a Spud. Cooper made a big jump in his third season and while he's best suited as a #3 starter given his proclivity to pitch-to-contact and lack of a strikeout pitch, he should be a steady option. Montoya gave up the most home runs in the Johnson League as a rookie, so he'll need to cut down on the long ball if Boise wants to cut down on their runs allowed. Lawrence thrived after being a waiver wire pick-up from Las Vegas, making eight starts and putting up a 3.33 ERA and 0.99 ERA. His surprising results earned him a spot in the 2044 rotation and he's projected to make 24 starts along with a few appearances out of the bullpen should he lose his starting job to some of the pitching prospects waiting down in Triple-A. Lawrence gives Boise's projected Opening Day rotation with four left-handers (Ramos, Cooper, Montoya and Lawrence). Hoffman will also split time between in the rotation and bullpen, and given his injury history, projecting 100 innings is wishful thinking. The aforementioned prospects are Asseldonk and Lopez, who are expected to join the rotation by summer, if not sooner.


BULLPEN
NAMEIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9
Dave Walsh1003.201.188.02.5
Diogo Lindt703.701.227.52.2
Frank Metcalf703.901.287.12.3
Grellan Profit604.101.247.63.0
Juan Guerrero603.601.106.51.8
Santiago Serrano504.101.318.23.4
Francisco Acosta505.301.348.23.2
Thomas Morrison304.201.227.82.6
Seitaro Ugaki202.901.117.62.0
It's been well-documented the devastating bullpen losses last year of 22-year-olds Jorge Maestas (career-ending injury) and Fernando Rangel (retirement, professional football). Both pitchers were extremely highly rated by scouts and expected to tally over 100 innings each as multi-inning stoppers. Alas, both are gone and Boise is still trying to pick up the pieces. Walsh is expected to approach 100 innings and put up numbers closer to his 2042 campaign (2.30 ERA, 0.99 WHIP in 113 innings). The Spuds would love to see free agent signee Lindt pitch 100 quality innings but given his injury history, 70-80 is much more likely to happen. Metcalf and Profit will transition into full-time reliever roles this season. Guerrero is coming off a fantastic first season in Boise (2.45 ERA, 0.88 WHIP in 51 innings) but some regression is expected. Acosta will start the season in the Triple-A rotation but he'll likely make a handful of starts due to injuries and should also pitch out of the big league bullpen at some point this year. Ugaki, with no options left, will be given the opportunity to limit his extreme fly-ball numbers as the bullpen LOOGY.
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