Upon conclusion of the expansion draft that introduced the Boise Spuds and Wichita Aviators to the BBA, the Edmonton Jackrabbits found themselves with two fewer players than they previously had on the 40-man roster. Thankfully, due to some carefully-calculated protecting, neither of this losses are going to affect the team much in the long run.
The first casualty is corner outfielder Felix Duarte (7/6/9/4/6 Ratings, .248/.298/.409, 6 HR, 17 RBI), a 28-year-old lefty hitter who profiles largely as a AAAA hitter (and therefore suits an expansion team quite well.) Selected by Wichita in the 30th round, Duarte has one good major-league season under his belt, that being 2031 when he hit 22 homers and was worth nearly two wins. But in his last big-league year, he was worth -1.1 WAR in just 20 starts, toiling both offensively and in the field. Despite a combined 5.9 WAR at Triple-A Winnipeg during each of the last two seasons, there was never much organizational confidence in Duarte's BBA abilities, and he was left unprotected, and subsequently selected by the Aviators.
Secondly, taken in the 33rd round, was infielder Grant Montoya (6/6/3/5/8 Ratings, .264/.325/.369, 4 HR, 23 RBI). Montoya was claimed off waivers from Vancouver by the Jackrabbits in mid-May last season, and proceeded to hit for a .694 OPS and 0.8 WAR, with 24 steals in 29 opportunities, in 109 starts largely as Edmonton's shortstop. Ultimately, I think he profiles more as a utility guy than a starter, and while he'll probably wind up starting his fair share of games as a member of an expansion club, it'll be interesting to see whether or not the Aviators try to teach him third base to round out his repertoire as a diamond patroller.
Down the Rabbit Hole (35.05): Rabbits Lose Two to Wichita
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Down the Rabbit Hole (35.05): Rabbits Lose Two to Wichita
BRANDON BROOKS
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Re: Down the Rabbit Hole (35.05): Rabbits Lose Two to Wichit
The #freeDuarte movement highly approves of the selection. He'll probably be an all star this season for Wichita.
Alan Ehlers
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Re: Down the Rabbit Hole (35.05): Rabbits Lose Two to Wichit
It's not like Duarte hasn't had chances. He's been fully developed for 3 seasons now - during which he has posted -1.1 WAR in 230 games. His career thus far makes me really scared that I'm putting too much faith in Hall.
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Re: Down the Rabbit Hole (35.05): Rabbits Lose Two to Wichit
The one season Duarte played about 130 something games (most likely the strong side of a platòon) and did very well. The next season he played more games (probably everyday) and wasn't as good. He needs a righty compliment but is definitely a solid bba player.
Oh and he also played in the pacific division which kills left handed power. He'll probably hit 40 hr in 130 gàmes in the southern
Oh and he also played in the pacific division which kills left handed power. He'll probably hit 40 hr in 130 gàmes in the southern
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Re: Down the Rabbit Hole (35.05): Rabbits Lose Two to Wichit
In 2031 he had a .298 BABIP and .183 HR/H rate in 437 ABs. From 2032-2034, he has a .271 BABIP and .162 HR/H in 747 ABs. So... I guess it depends on which set of samples you believe in more? One gave a .812 OPS in 437 ABs and one gave a .713 OPS in 747 ABs. If you argue the truth is somewhere in the middle (which I would, personally) then that is a ~.76 OPS. Is that a bat that is enough of a positive to make up for really, really bad (-23.4 ZR in 268 Gs in RF the last 3 seasons aggregate) corner OF defense? Or, maybe even worse, enough to be a positive contributor from the DH spot?
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Re: Down the Rabbit Hole (35.05): Rabbits Lose Two to Wichit
I could be completely wrong, but this is how I always think of the game engine
I imagine it looking at all of the teams and projecting a win total +/- 10
Things like relievers, platoons, and strategy than influence the +/- 10
But if it looks at a team like Wichita, (and because of the awesome job I've done), projects a win total between 85-95
it then makes the individual players stats 'fit' to achieve that win total
I would therefore expect Duarts to have better stats with me, in Wichita, (then he would have with Edmonton - terrible team, or Louisville - super strong team)
I guess we will see
I imagine it looking at all of the teams and projecting a win total +/- 10
Things like relievers, platoons, and strategy than influence the +/- 10
But if it looks at a team like Wichita, (and because of the awesome job I've done), projects a win total between 85-95
it then makes the individual players stats 'fit' to achieve that win total
I would therefore expect Duarts to have better stats with me, in Wichita, (then he would have with Edmonton - terrible team, or Louisville - super strong team)
I guess we will see
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