65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

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65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by RonCo » Fri Dec 12, 2025 12:57 pm

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Krill Bullpen Factory Churns Another?

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May 25, 2065: Kamloops, BC — Perhaps (as with Long Beach's alternate "problem") Bikini's propensity to develop relievers has something to do with the brackish lagoon water around the atoll, but if it is then that same something would have to be found in the eddies of currents and streams and lakes around the expanse of the PNW and Caribbean, where the Krill's minor league systems are scattered. In the case of Kamloops, which is a tiny province of British Columbia, it would be in the clear running mountain water of Thompson River, or the North Thompson, which runs eventually together to go on its merry way.

Whatever it is, it seems that the Bikini Krill’s organization is dead-set on building relief pitchers, and that there’s no end in sight. The latest example comes in the presence of one José Bermúdez, whose last two development reports have included:

2065-05-25
Movement Potential increased from 7 to 8
Movement increased from 7 to 8
Movement vs R increased from 7 to 8
2065-05-18
HRA Potential increased from 8 to 9
HRA vs R increased from 8 to 9
HRA vs L increased from 8 to 9

OOTP looks at that, and at his blisteringly beautiful 12/11 Fastball and Circle Change combo that comes at hitters at 100MPH, and boosts his overall rating to a cool “60.” Which seems reasonable, I guess. The guy’s 11 Stuff is fully fleshed in, as is that afore-reported Movement. So… sure, “60 makes sense, right? Until you note that the guy has a “2” control, which has looked okay in Kamloops (where he’s averaging only 3.1 walks per 9 innings), but would seem on the whole to be somewhat disqualifying at the BBA level.

So I ask, “Is José Bermúdez a 60?”

How is the rating system making that kid of decision? I have no idea. Does it matter than the guy has better than solid intangibles, with loyalty, adaptability, and Intelligence off-the-chart? Again, I have no clue. But the game calls José Bermúdez a 60.

Is that right?

I mean, in real life relievers simply don’t go higher than that, so that would mean Bermudez, at 23, would be considered an elite bullpen arm. His stats in the minors would back that up:

LevelAgeGWLSVERAIPERHRBBKBABIPFIPWARERA+
2062 - R20112200.6826.1218200.1592.370.6504
2063 - S A21286243.8846.120044530.2953.290.9108
2064 - S A2271030.009006110.2732.680.3999
2064 - A22122102.8628.19213330.3003.000.5149
2065 - AA23122021.1623.1308340.2501.431387

Bottom line, the man has cooked everywhere he’s been.

Does that matter?

I note, however, that OOTP is not like real life when it comes to relief pitcher ratings. OOTP has no problem giving relief pitchers the “80” tag—exhibit A being Krill stalwart Winston Morris, whose core ratings are certainly stronger than Bermudez’s, and which OOTP reflects by oscillating Morris between a 75 and an 80. Fellow top-end reliever Enrique Villarreal, whose leftiness may make him even more valuable than Morris overall, keeps bounding between 65-80. If OOTP did the MLB thing and made Morris a 60, and Villarreal a 55 or 60, what would that make Bermudez?

I have no idea.

45? 50?

I don’t know, really. And I suppose that’s the joy of OOTP ratings, especially when it comes to the bullpen. Bullpens are easy to throw together, right? Sure. Except that they aren’t really. I mean, it’s a no brainer for me to push Morris and Villarreal into the top notches. And the way Bikini is growing bullpen arms, we’ve been able to mostly be certain we’ll have solid performers up and down the pen. But a lot of us have 45 and 50s and 55s in the mix, and can still struggle. With Bermudez at a 60, would he do the same?

Maybe.

All I can say for sure is that the bullpen prospect rankings I put together a few days back are now already out of date.

Because, well … because OOTP, I suppose.

Either way, look for Bermudez to move to Pasco AAA fairly soon now. The proof is in the pudding, I suppose, and it’s time to get serious about figuring out if José Bermúdez is, or is not, a “60.”
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by Jwalk100 » Fri Dec 12, 2025 1:08 pm

He's better than this guy- Stewart Allain. But that much better?
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by RonCo » Fri Dec 12, 2025 1:13 pm

I note that while the html lists him as a "60," my in-game profile screen, Bermudez is listed as a "70." And on his scouting screen he's listed as a "65."

So to be fair, even OOTP can't figure out what he is.
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by BaseClogger » Fri Dec 12, 2025 1:22 pm

Let’s work backwards. What control would he need to have to be an 80? 5? 6? Then walk it back.

He feels like more of a 50 to me. The walks will limit his ability to throw clean innings and keep his pitch count under control. To cover innings. Having said that, exactly the kind of guy you want to turn to with runners on 2nd/3rd and no outs.
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by RonCo » Fri Dec 12, 2025 1:36 pm

It's a small sample size, but pitchers with "2" control have thrown 84 innings so far in 2065, and walked 56 hitters, or 6.0 Walks/9 IP.
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by Jwalk100 » Fri Dec 12, 2025 2:12 pm

RonCo wrote:
Fri Dec 12, 2025 1:13 pm
I note that while the html lists him as a "60," my in-game profile screen, Bermudez is listed as a "70." And on his scouting screen he's listed as a "65."

So to be fair, even OOTP can't figure out what he is.
Eryx Papanastasiou is a 30/75 on his bio page, 30/45 on his scouting page and 30/75 on html. Confusion is rampant!
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by Trebro » Fri Dec 12, 2025 2:12 pm

ugh! my reply didn't take. Short version is i don't think 3 control can work in BBA.
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by RonCo » Fri Dec 12, 2025 2:28 pm

There were 13 pitchers who saw at least 20 IP in the MLB with a BB/9 greater than 6.00. So if that small sample is actually representative, I suppose it's workable.
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by RonCo » Fri Dec 12, 2025 2:30 pm

Two of those 13 had sub 2.00 ERAs, and a couple more were sub 3.50.
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by Jwalk100 » Fri Dec 12, 2025 6:24 pm

I think they would have to be high stuff pitchers. They may walk a lot of batters but strike out a lot too. They can succeed but I wouldn't want to walk that high wire. It would be like watching Gavin Williams pitch.
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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by JimBob2232 » Sun Dec 14, 2025 7:40 am

Ceasar Castro is a 45..but so far so good. 8.2IP, 6BB, 13K 1.04 ERA

https://statspl.us/brewster/reports/new ... 78200.html

Too many of these guys!

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Re: 65.059 | Is José Bermúdez a 60?

Post by RonCo » Sun Dec 14, 2025 12:48 pm

JimBob2232 wrote:
Sun Dec 14, 2025 7:40 am
Ceasar Castro is a 45..but so far so good. 8.2IP, 6BB, 13K 1.04 ERA

https://statspl.us/brewster/reports/new ... 78200.html

Too many of these guys!
Wow. 9 walks in 10 IP. Still effective.
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