WHIV 2037.10- LV Top 30 Prospects
Posted: Mon Jan 28, 2019 7:56 pm
Now that we're using 20-80 scale for Potential, I thought I'd use my team as a test subject for "why". The BNN Top Prospect ratings are complete garbage. They're heavy on career minor leaguers, weighted to all kinds of weird positions and just plain wrong.
BNN Las Vegas Top Prospects:
TOP PROSPECTS - BATTERS
# Name Age Pos Contact Power Eye/Discipline Speed Defense Level AVG HR RBI
4 Mike England 21 2B 5 7 6 9 2 R .250 2 11
5 Sancho Castillo 20 SS 7 4 6 8 4 AAA .209 5 34
9 Chang-wei Huang 20 RF 6 5 5 3 3 R .203 2 12
10 Antonio Ruiz 18 C 8 6 3 1 5 INT .000 0 0
11 Francisco Mendez 21 CF 6 6 5 5 7 A .310 4 21
14 Nelion Mkubwa 20 1B 7 7 6 7 6 S A .375 0 3
18 Raul Alilea 19 2B 7 6 5 8 5 A .358 4 18
20 Chad Garrett 22 RF 7 6 5 10 8 AAA .275 4 19
21 Bart Cluett 23 CF 6 1 6 11 5 A .291 2 21
22 Ron Dumont 22 1B 7 6 4 1 7 AAA .300 22 59
24 Julian Fernandez 21 3B 6 7 4 1 5 AA .283 9 30
25 Foppe Visser 19 2B 6 3 5 8 6 S A .333 0 3
27 Mimum Zikomo 17 RF 6 7 6 6 4 R .318 0 2
28 Phil Logan 18 3B 7 5 4 6 2 R .161 0 1
29 Martin Vargro 18 LF 6 5 6 10 5 R .258 8 15
30 Trevor Tieleman 18 CF 6 1 5 11 6 S A .500 0 0
TOP PROSPECTS - PITCHERS
# Name Age Role Stuff Movement Control Level Rec ERA IP HA BB K
1 Marvin Atkinson 18 P 8 7 8 S A 3-1 3.62 32.1 31 9 18
2 Alvin Chartrand 23 P 9 7 6 AAA 4-2 3.38 69.1 43 34 61
3 Tetsuzan Yamanaka 17 P 7 7 9 R 2-0 1.64 11.0 6 3 7
6 Luis German 19 P 8 6 7 A 3-5 3.81 89.2 90 16 48
7 Sandro Plumey 21 P 8 5 6 AAA 2-10 4.99 115.1 137 25 77
8 Jaime Sanchez 20 P 7 6 6 A 7-4 4.33 122.2 130 36 68
12 Roman Sanchez 22 P 7 4 8 AA 5-7 4.26 112.0 117 34 85
13 Carlos Valentin 24 P 8 4 6 AA 5-5 3.58 98.0 81 27 71
15 Geoffrey Tran 26 P 9 6 3 AA 9-3 2.97 112.0 80 42 104
16 Leo Minter 25 P 6 6 5 AA 5-4 4.85 78.0 74 27 56
17 Reinprecht Spitzer 25 P 8 4 6 AA 4-3 3.38 101.1 98 28 83
19 Julio Lopez 24 P 8 5 5 R 0-0 .00 0.0 0 0 0
23 Pedro Blanco 17 P 6 4 10 R 4-3 3.10 61.0 57 18 37
26 Pedro Gutierrez 18 P 7 4 8 R 0-1 1.69 16.0 9 4 11
Now, here's my OFP (Overall Future Potential) Top Prospects List as created by me just now:
1. Marvin Atkinson SP (70)
He has all the stuff to be a #1-2 starter if the changeup develops, otherwise an elite reliever.
2. Alvin Chartrand SP (65)
#2-3 Starter seems right on the money.
3. Ryosei Akahori RP (60)
#3 Starter or High Closer- a high leverage arm who is probably best fit for the pen, this is right on.
4. Wayne Jackson RP (60)
Should be a worthwhile bullpen arm if he can overcome bad intangibles.
5. Ricardo Moreno RP (60)
High leverage bullpen arm, just like OFP says.
6. Mike England SS (55)
An above average position player- absolutely.
7. Tetsuzan Yamanaka SP (55)
#3-4 starter? That's exactly what I'm thinking.
8. Antonio Ruiz C (55)
Above average catcher- yes if he develops.
9. Sancho Castillo 3B (50)
Average regular according to OFP. I think that's spot on.
10. Luis German SP (50)
#4/Low CL/High SU? Yes, that's perfect.
11. Chang-wei Huang 3B (45)
Platoon/Utility? Yes, now that he lumped that's just right.
12. Angel Lorenzo RP (45)
Low Setup? Yup, that's right on the money.
13. Wayne Mawle RP (45)
Low setup again or #5 starter- absolutely.
14. Raul Alilea 2B (40)
Bench Bat- I think he could be a bit more than that but the performance has been choppy this year (awesome at Class A, dreadful at AA).
15. Powell Canning RP (40)
Middle Reliever- exactly what he is.
16. Bart Cluett 2B (40)
Bench Bat- you bet, I've trained him to be a super utility guy.
17. Francisco Mendez CF (40)
Bench bat- yes he's a premier defensive outfielder with bat challenges.
18. Nelion Mkubwa 1B (40)
Bench bat- probably about right for him.
19. Masahiko Nemoto RP (40)
Middle reliever- yes that'll be his role should be make it with us.
20. Sandro Plumey SP (40)
Spot SP/Middle RP- seems right given his MO challenges.
21. Jaime Sanchez SP (40)
- Spot SP/Mid RP- yup
22. Roman Sanchez SP (40)
- Yup
23. Carlos Valentin SP (40)
Again yup
24. Martin Vargro LF (40)
Bench bat- seems like that's right, too early to tell
25. Foppe Visser 2B (40)
Bench bat- yes- another utility guy
26. Mimum Zikomo RF (40)
Bench bat- way too early to tell
27. Benjamin Clark C (35)
Emergency call up? I think he's slightly more than that but I won't argue too much
28. Phil Logan 3B (35)
Again, I think as he learns third base his OFP will rise, the injury didn't help.
29. Otto Altaner 1B (30)
Organizational fodder? This is quite low.
30. Chad Garrett RF (35)
- Emergency call up, as of now that's right.
I went straight chalk on this all the way until #26 when I made a minor change by putting Altaner in the list. But this chalk list using the 20-80 OFP scale actually is a good representation of my prospects.
BNN Las Vegas Top Prospects:
TOP PROSPECTS - BATTERS
# Name Age Pos Contact Power Eye/Discipline Speed Defense Level AVG HR RBI
4 Mike England 21 2B 5 7 6 9 2 R .250 2 11
5 Sancho Castillo 20 SS 7 4 6 8 4 AAA .209 5 34
9 Chang-wei Huang 20 RF 6 5 5 3 3 R .203 2 12
10 Antonio Ruiz 18 C 8 6 3 1 5 INT .000 0 0
11 Francisco Mendez 21 CF 6 6 5 5 7 A .310 4 21
14 Nelion Mkubwa 20 1B 7 7 6 7 6 S A .375 0 3
18 Raul Alilea 19 2B 7 6 5 8 5 A .358 4 18
20 Chad Garrett 22 RF 7 6 5 10 8 AAA .275 4 19
21 Bart Cluett 23 CF 6 1 6 11 5 A .291 2 21
22 Ron Dumont 22 1B 7 6 4 1 7 AAA .300 22 59
24 Julian Fernandez 21 3B 6 7 4 1 5 AA .283 9 30
25 Foppe Visser 19 2B 6 3 5 8 6 S A .333 0 3
27 Mimum Zikomo 17 RF 6 7 6 6 4 R .318 0 2
28 Phil Logan 18 3B 7 5 4 6 2 R .161 0 1
29 Martin Vargro 18 LF 6 5 6 10 5 R .258 8 15
30 Trevor Tieleman 18 CF 6 1 5 11 6 S A .500 0 0
TOP PROSPECTS - PITCHERS
# Name Age Role Stuff Movement Control Level Rec ERA IP HA BB K
1 Marvin Atkinson 18 P 8 7 8 S A 3-1 3.62 32.1 31 9 18
2 Alvin Chartrand 23 P 9 7 6 AAA 4-2 3.38 69.1 43 34 61
3 Tetsuzan Yamanaka 17 P 7 7 9 R 2-0 1.64 11.0 6 3 7
6 Luis German 19 P 8 6 7 A 3-5 3.81 89.2 90 16 48
7 Sandro Plumey 21 P 8 5 6 AAA 2-10 4.99 115.1 137 25 77
8 Jaime Sanchez 20 P 7 6 6 A 7-4 4.33 122.2 130 36 68
12 Roman Sanchez 22 P 7 4 8 AA 5-7 4.26 112.0 117 34 85
13 Carlos Valentin 24 P 8 4 6 AA 5-5 3.58 98.0 81 27 71
15 Geoffrey Tran 26 P 9 6 3 AA 9-3 2.97 112.0 80 42 104
16 Leo Minter 25 P 6 6 5 AA 5-4 4.85 78.0 74 27 56
17 Reinprecht Spitzer 25 P 8 4 6 AA 4-3 3.38 101.1 98 28 83
19 Julio Lopez 24 P 8 5 5 R 0-0 .00 0.0 0 0 0
23 Pedro Blanco 17 P 6 4 10 R 4-3 3.10 61.0 57 18 37
26 Pedro Gutierrez 18 P 7 4 8 R 0-1 1.69 16.0 9 4 11
Now, here's my OFP (Overall Future Potential) Top Prospects List as created by me just now:
1. Marvin Atkinson SP (70)
He has all the stuff to be a #1-2 starter if the changeup develops, otherwise an elite reliever.
2. Alvin Chartrand SP (65)
#2-3 Starter seems right on the money.
3. Ryosei Akahori RP (60)
#3 Starter or High Closer- a high leverage arm who is probably best fit for the pen, this is right on.
4. Wayne Jackson RP (60)
Should be a worthwhile bullpen arm if he can overcome bad intangibles.
5. Ricardo Moreno RP (60)
High leverage bullpen arm, just like OFP says.
6. Mike England SS (55)
An above average position player- absolutely.
7. Tetsuzan Yamanaka SP (55)
#3-4 starter? That's exactly what I'm thinking.
8. Antonio Ruiz C (55)
Above average catcher- yes if he develops.
9. Sancho Castillo 3B (50)
Average regular according to OFP. I think that's spot on.
10. Luis German SP (50)
#4/Low CL/High SU? Yes, that's perfect.
11. Chang-wei Huang 3B (45)
Platoon/Utility? Yes, now that he lumped that's just right.
12. Angel Lorenzo RP (45)
Low Setup? Yup, that's right on the money.
13. Wayne Mawle RP (45)
Low setup again or #5 starter- absolutely.
14. Raul Alilea 2B (40)
Bench Bat- I think he could be a bit more than that but the performance has been choppy this year (awesome at Class A, dreadful at AA).
15. Powell Canning RP (40)
Middle Reliever- exactly what he is.
16. Bart Cluett 2B (40)
Bench Bat- you bet, I've trained him to be a super utility guy.
17. Francisco Mendez CF (40)
Bench bat- yes he's a premier defensive outfielder with bat challenges.
18. Nelion Mkubwa 1B (40)
Bench bat- probably about right for him.
19. Masahiko Nemoto RP (40)
Middle reliever- yes that'll be his role should be make it with us.
20. Sandro Plumey SP (40)
Spot SP/Middle RP- seems right given his MO challenges.
21. Jaime Sanchez SP (40)
- Spot SP/Mid RP- yup
22. Roman Sanchez SP (40)
- Yup
23. Carlos Valentin SP (40)
Again yup
24. Martin Vargro LF (40)
Bench bat- seems like that's right, too early to tell
25. Foppe Visser 2B (40)
Bench bat- yes- another utility guy
26. Mimum Zikomo RF (40)
Bench bat- way too early to tell
27. Benjamin Clark C (35)
Emergency call up? I think he's slightly more than that but I won't argue too much
28. Phil Logan 3B (35)
Again, I think as he learns third base his OFP will rise, the injury didn't help.
29. Otto Altaner 1B (30)
Organizational fodder? This is quite low.
30. Chad Garrett RF (35)
- Emergency call up, as of now that's right.
I went straight chalk on this all the way until #26 when I made a minor change by putting Altaner in the list. But this chalk list using the 20-80 OFP scale actually is a good representation of my prospects.