Havana Herald 2034.10- The Brick Wall

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Havana Herald 2034.10- The Brick Wall

Post by usnspecialist » Tue Apr 24, 2018 2:42 pm

With roughly 3/4 of the season in the rearview mirror the Sugar Kings find themselves in a position that has been very unfamiliar to them in the last 2 decades, at the top of the division. That being said, not all that glitters is gold in the Cuban capital, as the division lead has been slashed from its recent peak of 11 games on July 22nd down to a scant 3 games over a rampaging New Orleans team on August 18th. While the Sugar Kings are not in danger (yet) of missing out on the playoffs after snapping a long drought last year, it has been reliably reported that lights have been on late into the night in the team offices as they try to figure out what is plaguing this team.

One obviously point of concern has been the recently extended Jean-Luc Lacaze, who ev before his recent season ending injury was performing at the level of a 4th outfielder, not a man who signed a 6 year/80 million extension prior to the season (which it should be noted, hasn't even kicked in yet). Surely the front office has to be regretting that extension at this point, although fortunately (or perhaps unfortunately) Lacaze has plenty of time to earn that salary.

One part of the team that has mostly been a rock throughout the season is the starting pitching staff, which has been at or near the top of the league in virtually every category this entire season thanks to the rousing success of the experimental six-man starting rotation that manager Mike Wilkinson rolled out. With all of that staff locked up for the foreseeable future, it would not be a surprise to see it continued into the coming seasons.
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Re: Havana Herald 2034.10- The Brick Wall

Post by agrudez » Tue Apr 24, 2018 3:05 pm

Career BABIP: .292
2033 BABIP: .295
2034 BABIP: .242

2034 hits with a .242 BABIP: 57
2034 theoretical hits with a .292 BABIP: 67

If all of those +10 hits were singles, his slash line would be .247/.357/.418/.775.

His 2B/H ratio is .245 and HR/H ratio is .175. So, if we give him 10 hits with (rounding down) 2 more 2Bs and (rounding up) 2 more HRs based on his per H ratios then his slash line would be .247/.357/.449/.806. His career slash line is .255/.35/.459/.809, which is remarkably nearly identical to his projected stat line assuming a career BABIP. In other words, in every other aspect of his offensive game other than poor BABIP luck, he is exactly the same guy this year as he has been every other year. So... trade him to me at a discount since you're frustrated with him? :)
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Re: Havana Herald 2034.10- The Brick Wall

Post by usnspecialist » Tue Apr 24, 2018 3:13 pm

agrudez wrote:Career BABIP: .292
2033 BABIP: .295
2034 BABIP: .242

2034 hits with a .242 BABIP: 57
2034 theoretical hits with a .292 BABIP: 67

If all of those +10 hits were singles, his slash line would be .247/.357/.418/.775.

His 2B/H ratio is .245 and HR/H ratio is .175. So, if we give him 10 hits with (rounding down) 2 more 2Bs and (rounding up) 2 more HRs based on his per H ratios then his slash line would be .247/.357/.449/.806. His career slash line is .255/.35/.459/.809, which is remarkably nearly identical to his projected stat line assuming a career BABIP. In other words, in every other aspect of his offensive game other than poor BABIP luck, he is exactly the same guy this year as he has been every other year. So... trade him to me at a discount since you're frustrated with him? :)
i already got him from Huntsville at a massive discount lol. That being said, i DO have quite the reputation as a trader, so if/when you get a franchise (again) feel free to make me an offer.
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Re: Havana Herald 2034.10- The Brick Wall

Post by agrudez » Tue Apr 24, 2018 3:18 pm

usnspecialist wrote:i already got him from Huntsville at a massive discount lol.
Lol, I know.

:banghead: <- PS. I imagine that this isn't what you had in mind with the article subject :P
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Re: Havana Herald 2034.10- The Brick Wall

Post by RonCo » Tue Apr 24, 2018 3:20 pm

Lacaze is fine as long as you can keep him away from LHP.

That said, he's getting older. The question of whether his BABIP drop is real or not is fair game, though I would guess it's a one-season anomaly.
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