Tropical Tidbits 33.03 - 2036 Draft Review

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Tropical Tidbits 33.03 - 2036 Draft Review

Post by udlb58 » Sat Sep 29, 2018 12:30 am

2036 was certainly one of the deepest classes of the last few years and most GMs will probably be feeling good about their classes; still, I feel like we had a very good draft, especially considering our placement in the rounds. This could wind up rivaling our 2028 class, which has produced six major leaguers (including David Noboru, Tony Gustafsen, and Jim Miranda). If you read more than 10 words from this point on...you get a gold star.
  • Round 1: #33 CF Edgardo Encarnacion (9/8/2/4/10 Talents) - A player with massive contact potential who can also field multiple positions. I'm never huge on low pow/eye players, and he's right-handed; but if he fills out, he would definitely be a top 10 2B in the league, and if the bat doesn't quite fill out, he still could be a very useful roster piece who can play 2B, LF, 1B, and even CF/RF in a pinch.
  • Round 2: #75 1B Luis Reyes (8/7/8/3/9 Talents) - I'm going to be honest, I really thought Luis Lucero would fall to me here, and I was very nearly right (fuck you Ted). I had considered Lucero in the 1st, but I knew Encarnacion wouldn't fall and felt Lucero may. Still, I'm happy with Reyes and even if I had gotten Lucero, I'd have taken Reyes 6 picks later. He won't be a Zimmer winner, but he has enough defense to actually play 1B competently and being a switch-hitter, I think he could be a sneaky good player. If he fills out as much as I think, he could be a poor man's Noboru (who's 9/8/3 himself). If he doesn't fill out completely, he's a bust as 1B/DH with ratings below his potential are a dime-a-dozen.
  • Round 2C: #81 RF David Ward (6/8/8/6/5 Talents) - Lefty who could be a competent RF or 1B. He reminds me a lot of Juan Ramirez, who was taken in a similar spot 2 years ago and is on the cusp of a ML call-up.
  • Round 3: #120 P Matt Miller (6/7/6 Talents) - There were more valuable hitters still out there, but I felt the pool of hitters was deep enough to get value later on, while the number of actual starting pitchers with a decent movement rating was very low. It is unlikely that he ever is a regular player, but he's reasonably developed, doesn't have a changeup, is an Extreme Groundball pitcher (our park punishes Flyball pitchers), and with a little velo bump, he could become a good back-end starter, which wouldn't be a bad return on 120 overall. He is coming off an injury, and is asking for quite a bit of money, but we shall see.
  • Round 4: #151 CF Mitsuhide Suzuki (6/6/6/6/5 Talents) - I'm actually very excited about this prospect. If any of those 6s turn to 7s, he is a starting CF. If they don't, he's still a potential #4 OF with the ability to play all 3 positions and he can run reasonably well.
  • Round 5: #181 LF Kevin Kerr (7/7/7/4/7 Talents) - A switch-hitter with positive splits vLHP, he could be a potential starter if he can hit well enough. The defense is a question, but it shouldn't be bad enough that he is completely limited to 1B/DH. At 7/7/4 and from both sides of the plate, he could be a good bench bat even if he just hits his potential.
  • Round 6: #211 SS Jose Cortes (6/6/2/6/6 Talents) - I love wasting picks on good defenders who need to improve at the plate, hoping one will boom at some point. Cortes isn't hopeless with the bat, and is another switch-hitter. He can play all infield positions well, and could even get you out of a game as a corner outfielder. It wouldn't take a lot of extra development for him to have a long BBA career, which is all you can ask for at 211. He could be a hard sign though.
  • Round 7: #241 RF Enrique Sagastizabal (5/5/8/6/4 Talents) - He can play right, left, and second, and had more power than anyone else who could field a position at this point in the draft. He actually looks very similar to what Andre Wellington has been the last few years, so there's a real potential he could wind up a roster-able player.
  • Round 8: #271 SS Jonathon O'Reilly (5/6/3/8/5 Talents) - What can I say? I really like guys with a patient approach and O'Reilly is in a class by himself in that area. He's a good enough fielder to battle for a BBA roster spot one day, so long as he makes enough contact. But if his contact wasn't a question, he'd have been taken 5 rounds earlier.
  • Round 9: #301 C Juan Castelucci (5/6/7/6/5 Talents) - Very good defense for a catcher and the ability to double-up as a 1B in a defensive sub role. The bat isn't anything special, but have you seen some of the catchers in this league right now?
  • Round 10: #331 P Gonzalo Mercado (8/5/5 Talents) - He needs a lot of work to reach the majors, but he's a lefty reliever with a cutter.
  • Round 11: #360 2B Donovan Douglas (6/6/2/6/6 Talents) - He's a lot like Cortes, but right-handed and more developed. He may move right up to single-A and I could see him being the weaker half of a platoon one day.
  • Round 12: #388 P Rick Hatfield (9/4/7 Talents) - Far from developed, and he'll give up quite a few HR, but he's another lefty with a cutter and he actually has a better makeup for the majors than Mercado, if he is able to reach his potential. However, he needs a ton of development before that happens.
  • Round 13: #416 LF Dennis Barker (6/6/4/6/6 Talents) - Highly developed, switch-hitting, corner OF/3B. He can play defense and it wouldn't take but a point here or there to make him a viable roster piece.
  • Round 14: #446 LF Francisco Carranza (5/8/7/6/5 Talents) - Solid lefty bat who's also solid in the field. Decent power/eye, but he may not make enough contact to ever be a BBA player.
  • Round 15: #476 P Delano Fish (8/5/5 Talents) - There were a ton of hitters who looked the same, but I thought Fish stood out among pitchers. He has 3 pitches, including a sinker. If he gets a few velo bumps, that increased sinker could help his movement woes, making him a potential #5/RP.
  • Round 16: #506 RF Gregg Caine (6/6/5/6/6 Talents) - Well-rounded lefty bat who has some make-up concerns. Still, lefty who isn't a total hack in the field and doesn't need many bumps to be interesting.
  • Round 17: #536 LF Pedro Beltran (6/6/3/5/8 Talents) - 18 year old lefty who may be good enough for AA right now. Even if he's 7/3/5 vRHP, with 8 range, he could be a platoon option on a bad team.
  • Round 18: #566 P Roberto Castillo (4/5/7 Talents) - He may not sign, but if he does, he's a lefty with 4 pitches (really 1.5) and the stamina to start. He's more likely to flame out in single-A than become a major league pitcher, but as a lefty with the framework for 4 pitches, a few velo bumps could make him an actually decent pitcher.
  • Round 19: #596 P Fernando Cantu (7/6/3 Talents) - Lefty SP with 3 solid pitches, stamina, and movement. Control is a major issue, but I think he's worth the punt here. Just a little extra velo and suddenly he's a decent LOOGY option.
  • Round 20: #626 P Jesus Reyes (9/5/4 Talents) - Pretty good fastball, not much else. Will need improved movement or control to be worth anything.
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Re: Tropical Tidbits 33.03 - 2036 Draft Review

Post by Ted » Sun Sep 30, 2018 11:07 am

Glad I could frustrate you. I was pretty happy about the Lucero pick.
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Re: Tropical Tidbits 33.03 - 2036 Draft Review

Post by udlb58 » Sun Sep 30, 2018 11:09 pm

Ted wrote:
Sun Sep 30, 2018 11:07 am
Glad I could frustrate you. I was pretty happy about the Lucero pick.
I remember thinking "yes, is going to fall to me and I'll be stoked with Encarnacion/Lucero/Reyes!" about 2 picks before you. :furious:

I still like Ward, but I'd take a switch-hitting 3B over a left-handed RF if given the choice.
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Re: Tropical Tidbits 33.03 - 2036 Draft Review

Post by 7teen » Tue Oct 02, 2018 11:37 am

Get a guy with 9 stuff in the 20th round says a lot about the draft depth. A few bumps here or there and you have a huge bonus with no risk.

Shew, my wife made meatloaf two days ago and that stuff is still tearing me up.
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Re: Tropical Tidbits 33.03 - 2036 Draft Review

Post by ae37jr » Tue Oct 02, 2018 5:53 pm

7teen wrote:
Tue Oct 02, 2018 11:37 am
Shew, my wife made meatloaf two days ago and that stuff is still tearing me up.
Great analysis! Though I'd argue that last years draft class was more comparable to the after effects of the meatloaf.
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