I took some time to analyze and try to wrap my head around just what the BBA landscape is beginning to look like regarding player potential. Even if he is a top 100 prospect, Just what sort of production is a “50” overall player going to have when he debuts in the BBA? You have to keep in mind, when he debuts, he very well may be going against 70-75 overall starting pitchers.Editor's Note: Please feel free to comment any thoughts, especially if they are to tell me I am wrong. I am not trying to start a league wide debate on this, but I thought I would share this analysis. I did it mainly because it keeps me from wanting to deal quite a few of my "stars" for prospects despite the prospects ranking, knowing several years of the prospect might be wasted in the BBA going against much harder competition.
However, assuming he makes it through the gauntlet those first few years eventually, it is setting up to look like he might be facing similar 50-60 potential prospects.
Of the current players who are 65+ overall, 94 of these are 30 years or older. 30 years typically being when you start to see a deadline in production. 94 is almost half of the current total of 207 who are on a BBA roster and have a greater overall than 65. Only 16 lucky guys are higher than 65 overall and under the age of 25 currently in the BBA.
The biggest question looming is how quickly those 94 guys that are over the age of 30 are going to “regress”. It’s very possible that their high ceiling allows for a slow ratings drop and these guys play well into their 40s because their abilities and production still is higher than the 28-year-old with just a bit lower ratings.
Now enjoy a few tables to showcase the thoughts above.
