The Sword that Slays? | Wazir bin Rayhan (#93) | Prospecting (52.08)

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The Sword that Slays? | Wazir bin Rayhan (#93) | Prospecting (52.08)

Post by mragland » Mon Sep 19, 2022 10:13 pm

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The Sword that Slays?

05/12/2052

We are back in Baltimore again, turning our attention to Wazir bin Rayhan. Charm City acquired Baghdad native bin Rayhan when the pitcher was just sixteen, via the international amateur free agent market in 2045. Bin Ryhan collected what at first blush seems like a modest bonus of $878,424, but makes sense in context.

A left-hander, bin Rayhan had a future value of 20 as a starting pitcher in '45, with potential ratings of 6/3/5 at the time he was drafted. He was a non-prospect, in other words.

This is what his official scouting report has to say:
bin Rayhan … can top out at 97-99 mph on the radar gun. He pairs an off the charts changeup with a plus sinker. He has the type of stuff that will generate plenty of wings and misses, and should strikeout more than his share of batters as he matures. Bin Rayhan is projected to fit comfortably in the middle of a big league rotation.
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Wazir has had one thing going for him, and that's a strong work ethic, which might possibly have helped him go from nobody, to maybe possibly somebody. Projections for Wazir have risen rapidly during his time in the minors, but have slacked off a bit lately. His future value rating peaked in 2050 as a 21 year-old, when scouts pegged him at a 65. Now 23, he's seen as a 50 future value player with projected ratings of 11/4/7. Since suffering a strained oblique in '47 which kept him out for just three weeks, he hasn't had a significant injury. Yet, the scouting service says that his injury proneness is properly rated as 'fragile', which seems like quite an exaggeration. He is currently rated as the #96 prospect in the BBA.

Can bin Rayhan hack it as a starting pitcher? He has been deployed as a starter throughout his tenure with the Jimmies organization, but hasn't had a standout season at any level. He has a blue stamina and a fairly varied arsenal, with a very good change-up which should be his strikeout pitch. Stuff has an above average ceiling. Movement is not good, and doesn't look like it ever will be, but his home run rates in the minors have not been catastrophic. A groundball pitcher with a sub-par movement rating suggests someone prone to hanging breaking balls up in the zone, and then watching them sail away over the outfield wall. Still, I'm more concerned with the slowly developing control, as evidenced by some not-so-great walk rates, such as the 4.9 BB/9 IP he has had so far in AA this year (bin Rayhan was recently promoted to AAA, but hasn't yet pitched a game there). His projections as a reliever have been underwhelming, so it feels like if Wazir does break into the bigs, it will be as a starter, but he needs to throw strikes more consistently.

Charm City has not been rushing bin Rayhan along in the minors and I don't expect we'll see him in the BBA before this September, at the earliest.
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Re: The Sword that Slays? | Wazir bin Rayhan (#93) | Prospecting (52.08)

Post by DaveB » Wed Sep 21, 2022 2:07 pm

I enjoy these. Thanks for posting.
2046-47 UMEBA Champ for Mumbai Metro Stars
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Re: The Sword that Slays? | Wazir bin Rayhan (#93) | Prospecting (52.08)

Post by CTBrewCrew » Wed Sep 21, 2022 6:56 pm

agreed - just waiting until he gets to one of mine ;)
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