Giving Props: How's Your Prop Bet Looking?
Posted: Thu Dec 31, 2020 4:25 pm
While several people used their Brewster Bucks on Landis and Overs and Unders, a majority of the bucks were used on the Prop Bets. In fact, well over $500 "Brewster Bucks" were risked all together on the Prop Bets and unlike the over and under bets, bettors were getting action on both sides of things which should make these fun to see play out in the end. Let's see how things look right now at the halfway point.
Will the Heartland Take All 4 Wild Cards (Yes +500, No -750)
The Sportsbook were daring bettors with a huge pay out to take the yes. Since expansion, a division has yet to take all 4 wild cards in the post-season. However, the highly touted and puffy chested Heartland felt this was their year. So the Books were begging people to lay their money on the yes. Well, the Sportsbooks might be regretting their odds at the moment. At the moment, the yes bettors are winning their bets. Those who voted yes have a variety of options still for their side to win. Not only does the Heartland claim all 4 spots, but Nashville (1.5 back) and Madison (2 back) are in the hunt as well. The no bettors have some options, but all of them sort of mesh together. Can Long Beach (2 back), Vancouver (3.5 back), or Sacramento (3.5 back) get hot in the second half and save the Sportsbooks hides? It'll be fun to see.
$15 on Yes, $20 on No, 1 bet mixed in with a parlay on Yes
Mexico City Rainouts 13.5
This one had no research. It was a random number pulled out of thin air. It was for fun. For BBA pleasure. It's also hard to track. We are tracking this one based on the fact that the Aztecs had no double headers on their schedule to begin the season. They've played 3 to this point. So we are stating that there has been 3 rainouts thus far. Someone within the MC organization has indicated that "rainouts typically come later in the season" so the over still has a chance, but the Under looks pretty good right now.
$30 on the over, $27 on the under
Does Yellow Springs or Rockville win the Landis (Yes +500, No -350)
There is no way to really gauge this one at the moment, but the Yes bettors have to like their chances. Both Yellow Springs and Rockville are atop their division while the Nine own the Frick's best record (let me know if you've heard that one before though). With 12 teams making the playoffs, these two teams will most likely be in the hunt. Let's see how the random playoff generator treats it in October. If one of them wins, the books will take another huge hit.
$66 on Yes, $20 on No, 1 bet on a parlay on Yes
Homerun Champ, OU 52 (-110)
Our homerun leader Lucio De La Cruz currently has 32 homeruns and is on pace to hit 61 this season. There are currently 5 guys with 27 or more homeruns this season who are all on pace to hit at or more than 52 this season. So this is leaning towards the Yes bettors winning. Which will hurt Vegas considering the money that's come in on this parlay.
$40 on the over, $0 on the under
Pitcher Wins, OU 20.5 (-110)
This one is leaning over as well as James Browning, Timo Dooley, and Norio Hayasi all have 12 wins this season and are on pace for 23 on the year. There are currently 4 pitchers with 11 wins on the year who are on pace to reach 21 if that holds. So the over bettors have 7 guys currently on pace to reach the over. The over hitting would help the Book slightly.
$17 on the over, $20 on the under
Regular Season No-Hitters OU 2.5 (-110)
The knowledge, there hasn't been a single pitcher no-hitter this season, but the Charlotte Cougars threw a combined no-hitter against El Paso back on May 7. The Sportsbooks didn't specify how the no-hitter could be achieved so the book will honor that as 1. It's a toss-up at this point as to whether we'll see 1 or 2 more this season.
$5 on Over, 1 parlay bet on the over
Team News OU 120
Another one I threw in just for fun. El Paso leads the way currently with 62. Putting it right at the number or close to it this season.
$5 on the over, $10 on the under
Who Wins the All-Star Game (JL -135, FL +150)
Perhaps I'll throw out some interesting prop bets for the AS game before the next sim to get some of you who didn't use their Brewster Bucks to cash in some of those and potentially help the house!
$20 on the JL, $30 on the FL
Most Strikeouts by Reini (Charlotte) or Armstrong (New Orleans)
These two guys were very close in K numbers a year ago with Reini edging Armstrong 263 to 260 on the season. The fun part here is Reini is a reliever and Armstrong is a starter. Gut instincts may say go with the Starter in the end. But at the halfway point, this prop is all Reini who currently holds the edge over Armstrong 157 to 122. Assuming Reini doesn't get injured, his bettors may be in for a payday!
$10 on Reini, $5 on Armstrong
Most Pitcher Wins (Valle -125, Wullenweber -110)
The Sportsbook set this one up with Valle as the favorite. If it were to be released today, not only would Valle be the underdog, he'd probably be a significant dog as Wullenweber leads Valle 11 wins to 6. The Sportsbooks is liking how this one is shaping up!
$39 on Valle, $0 on Wullenweber
Will a Team Win 105 Games? (Yes/No -110)
This one is going to be close and fun to watch. Currently the Yellow Springs Nine have the best winning percentage at a .643 clip. Multiply that by 162 games and they are on pace to win 104.166 games. Meaning the No side is ahead as of now. But close. The Sportsbook is pulling hard for the Heartland to battle it out and prevent Yellow Springs from getting there. Omaha and Edmonton are next in line with a .612 percentage which would have them on pace for 99 wins. A sleeper could be Hawaii who is on pace for 98.01 wins and could feast on the Pacific if teams throw in the towel (assuming some Pacific teams have a towel to even throw in).
$50 on Yes, $10 on No
Most RBI (Bourgos -110, Stinson -130)
Based on history, the Sportsbooks gave Stinson the slightly favorite odds in this bet to have more RBI. As of right now, it is way to close to call. Stinson's San Antonio club is in a Landis Title fog right now but not because of his 56 RBI. Bourges on the other hand is in the thick of a post-season push with Louisville and has 57 RBI at the moment. San Antonio has also played one more game than Louisville giving the slightest of edges to Bourges at the moment but this one is way to close and early to call.
$5 on Bourges, $0 on Stinson
Most Team Wins (Twin Cities or Sacramento)
Just a fun GM bet between Ted and Doug. This bet saw quite a bit of action for bettors and as of right now it is favoring Twin Cities and their first year GM Ted. Twin Cities currently has a record of 45-39 and sit in 5th place in the Heartland while Sacramento is 42-43 and in 4th place in the Pacific. Twin Cities has a slight 3.5 game lead over the Mad Popes. This one has a lot of factors left to play out which include post-season pushes, divisional play, etc... AS much as it pains the Sportsbook, they need the Mad Popes to get back into this one!
$80 on Twin Cities, $15 on Sacramento
Most Homeruns (French and Roman with Boise or Barajas and Zhao with Rockville)
Perhaps the most creative prop bet on the docket, it didn't see a lot of play as only $20 came in on it. Perhaps bettors didn't want to strain themselves too much by trying to do the math. French and Roman currently have 41 homeruns on the season thanks to Roman's 31 bombs which is second in the league. Zhao and Barajas have been a little more balanced, hitting 16 and 15 respectively. However, their combined total adds up to what Roman currently has so French's output right now is making the difference. Sportsbook will point out that on the Rockville side, Zhao missed some time early in the season and Roman hasn't gotten injured yet.
$20 on French and Roman, $0 on Zhao and Barajas
Will a Team lose 105 Games (-110)
This one got left out of the Media Guide. Ron, who saw my submission, placed a bet on this one so I accepted it. It's going to hit. Ron will win!
$10 on Yes, $0 on NO
Will the Heartland Take All 4 Wild Cards (Yes +500, No -750)
The Sportsbook were daring bettors with a huge pay out to take the yes. Since expansion, a division has yet to take all 4 wild cards in the post-season. However, the highly touted and puffy chested Heartland felt this was their year. So the Books were begging people to lay their money on the yes. Well, the Sportsbooks might be regretting their odds at the moment. At the moment, the yes bettors are winning their bets. Those who voted yes have a variety of options still for their side to win. Not only does the Heartland claim all 4 spots, but Nashville (1.5 back) and Madison (2 back) are in the hunt as well. The no bettors have some options, but all of them sort of mesh together. Can Long Beach (2 back), Vancouver (3.5 back), or Sacramento (3.5 back) get hot in the second half and save the Sportsbooks hides? It'll be fun to see.
$15 on Yes, $20 on No, 1 bet mixed in with a parlay on Yes
Mexico City Rainouts 13.5
This one had no research. It was a random number pulled out of thin air. It was for fun. For BBA pleasure. It's also hard to track. We are tracking this one based on the fact that the Aztecs had no double headers on their schedule to begin the season. They've played 3 to this point. So we are stating that there has been 3 rainouts thus far. Someone within the MC organization has indicated that "rainouts typically come later in the season" so the over still has a chance, but the Under looks pretty good right now.
$30 on the over, $27 on the under
Does Yellow Springs or Rockville win the Landis (Yes +500, No -350)
There is no way to really gauge this one at the moment, but the Yes bettors have to like their chances. Both Yellow Springs and Rockville are atop their division while the Nine own the Frick's best record (let me know if you've heard that one before though). With 12 teams making the playoffs, these two teams will most likely be in the hunt. Let's see how the random playoff generator treats it in October. If one of them wins, the books will take another huge hit.
$66 on Yes, $20 on No, 1 bet on a parlay on Yes
Homerun Champ, OU 52 (-110)
Our homerun leader Lucio De La Cruz currently has 32 homeruns and is on pace to hit 61 this season. There are currently 5 guys with 27 or more homeruns this season who are all on pace to hit at or more than 52 this season. So this is leaning towards the Yes bettors winning. Which will hurt Vegas considering the money that's come in on this parlay.
$40 on the over, $0 on the under
Pitcher Wins, OU 20.5 (-110)
This one is leaning over as well as James Browning, Timo Dooley, and Norio Hayasi all have 12 wins this season and are on pace for 23 on the year. There are currently 4 pitchers with 11 wins on the year who are on pace to reach 21 if that holds. So the over bettors have 7 guys currently on pace to reach the over. The over hitting would help the Book slightly.
$17 on the over, $20 on the under
Regular Season No-Hitters OU 2.5 (-110)
The knowledge, there hasn't been a single pitcher no-hitter this season, but the Charlotte Cougars threw a combined no-hitter against El Paso back on May 7. The Sportsbooks didn't specify how the no-hitter could be achieved so the book will honor that as 1. It's a toss-up at this point as to whether we'll see 1 or 2 more this season.
$5 on Over, 1 parlay bet on the over
Team News OU 120
Another one I threw in just for fun. El Paso leads the way currently with 62. Putting it right at the number or close to it this season.
$5 on the over, $10 on the under
Who Wins the All-Star Game (JL -135, FL +150)
Perhaps I'll throw out some interesting prop bets for the AS game before the next sim to get some of you who didn't use their Brewster Bucks to cash in some of those and potentially help the house!
$20 on the JL, $30 on the FL
Most Strikeouts by Reini (Charlotte) or Armstrong (New Orleans)
These two guys were very close in K numbers a year ago with Reini edging Armstrong 263 to 260 on the season. The fun part here is Reini is a reliever and Armstrong is a starter. Gut instincts may say go with the Starter in the end. But at the halfway point, this prop is all Reini who currently holds the edge over Armstrong 157 to 122. Assuming Reini doesn't get injured, his bettors may be in for a payday!
$10 on Reini, $5 on Armstrong
Most Pitcher Wins (Valle -125, Wullenweber -110)
The Sportsbook set this one up with Valle as the favorite. If it were to be released today, not only would Valle be the underdog, he'd probably be a significant dog as Wullenweber leads Valle 11 wins to 6. The Sportsbooks is liking how this one is shaping up!
$39 on Valle, $0 on Wullenweber
Will a Team Win 105 Games? (Yes/No -110)
This one is going to be close and fun to watch. Currently the Yellow Springs Nine have the best winning percentage at a .643 clip. Multiply that by 162 games and they are on pace to win 104.166 games. Meaning the No side is ahead as of now. But close. The Sportsbook is pulling hard for the Heartland to battle it out and prevent Yellow Springs from getting there. Omaha and Edmonton are next in line with a .612 percentage which would have them on pace for 99 wins. A sleeper could be Hawaii who is on pace for 98.01 wins and could feast on the Pacific if teams throw in the towel (assuming some Pacific teams have a towel to even throw in).
$50 on Yes, $10 on No
Most RBI (Bourgos -110, Stinson -130)
Based on history, the Sportsbooks gave Stinson the slightly favorite odds in this bet to have more RBI. As of right now, it is way to close to call. Stinson's San Antonio club is in a Landis Title fog right now but not because of his 56 RBI. Bourges on the other hand is in the thick of a post-season push with Louisville and has 57 RBI at the moment. San Antonio has also played one more game than Louisville giving the slightest of edges to Bourges at the moment but this one is way to close and early to call.
$5 on Bourges, $0 on Stinson
Most Team Wins (Twin Cities or Sacramento)
Just a fun GM bet between Ted and Doug. This bet saw quite a bit of action for bettors and as of right now it is favoring Twin Cities and their first year GM Ted. Twin Cities currently has a record of 45-39 and sit in 5th place in the Heartland while Sacramento is 42-43 and in 4th place in the Pacific. Twin Cities has a slight 3.5 game lead over the Mad Popes. This one has a lot of factors left to play out which include post-season pushes, divisional play, etc... AS much as it pains the Sportsbook, they need the Mad Popes to get back into this one!
$80 on Twin Cities, $15 on Sacramento
Most Homeruns (French and Roman with Boise or Barajas and Zhao with Rockville)
Perhaps the most creative prop bet on the docket, it didn't see a lot of play as only $20 came in on it. Perhaps bettors didn't want to strain themselves too much by trying to do the math. French and Roman currently have 41 homeruns on the season thanks to Roman's 31 bombs which is second in the league. Zhao and Barajas have been a little more balanced, hitting 16 and 15 respectively. However, their combined total adds up to what Roman currently has so French's output right now is making the difference. Sportsbook will point out that on the Rockville side, Zhao missed some time early in the season and Roman hasn't gotten injured yet.
$20 on French and Roman, $0 on Zhao and Barajas
Will a Team lose 105 Games (-110)
This one got left out of the Media Guide. Ron, who saw my submission, placed a bet on this one so I accepted it. It's going to hit. Ron will win!
$10 on Yes, $0 on NO