2041 BBA Trade Value Series: #50-#41

Beat articles, power rankings, statistical analysis, etc. goes here.
jleddy
Ex-GM
Posts: 3216
Joined: Mon May 27, 2019 5:46 pm
Location: Long Beach, CA
Has thanked: 3377 times
Been thanked: 1174 times

2041 BBA Trade Value Series: #50-#41

Post by jleddy » Sun Feb 09, 2020 3:14 pm

It's that time of year (already)...the annual BBA Trade Value Series! Inspired by FanGraph's annual MLB Trade Value series, which was inspired by, if not ripped-off from, Bill Simmons’ NBA trade value column on ESPN.com back in the day. We've had a handful of new BBA/UMEBA GMs since last year's feature, so here's the rundown: The concept is to put together a ranking of the most valuable individual assets in the game, which is a different discussion than who the best players in the game are. Age, contract status, salary, injury history and position scarcity all come into play, not just the numbers on the back of the players' baseball cards.

This year's installment is the third edition -- while FanGraphs has only done one version in the same timeframe...losers! -- to attempt to figure out which players have the most value in the league heading into the 2041 trade deadline. Essentially, the best way to look at a player’s placement on this list is to ask “Would you trade him, straight up, for any of the guys listed ahead of him?”

You can check out last year's list in these forum posts.

A few notes about what you'll see below:
  • Ratings (OVERALL/POTENTIAL) are as of July 27, 2041
  • 2041 WAR figures are through July 27, 2041 and projected out for the rest of the season
  • Salary figures in grey italics are projected arbitration totals
  • Players selected in the 2041 First Year Draft were not considered for the list due to lack of professional experience
Today we start at #50 and work our way up to #41:

- - - - - - - - - -

#50 - Augusto Sánchez, Louisville, SP 65/65
PREVIOUS RANK: 5

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2039225.8$500,000
2040236.6$500,000
204124N/A$6,875,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGH: 2043
REMAINING CONTRACT: $20,700,000
REMAINING AAV: $10,350,000


Ranked 6th in 2039 and 5th last year, Sánchez saw his value take a drastic hit when he ruptured his UCL in October last season. Scouts have downgraded his skills since and whether the Nicaraguan southpaw can raise his previous ceiling remains to be seen, however Sánchez was one of the top five pitching talents prior to the injury and still is under team control for two more seasons.


#49 - Pancho Germán, Boise, SP 55/60
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2039234.7$500,000
2040243.3$500,000
2041254.6$4,250,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGH: 2044
REMAINING CONTRACT: $17,100,000
REMAINING AAV: $5,700,000


The man known as "Teliqua" is not a top 50 talent, but the 2039 All-Star is having a bounceback season as surprise Boise's staff ace. Earlier this year, Germán signed an under-market three-year extension that justifies his spot on this year's list. A workhorse arm in his mid-twenties making less than $6M per season is sure to be valuable in trade talks.


#48 - Manuel Aguilar, Jr., Hawaii, 1B 70/70
PREVIOUS RANK: 16

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2039223.8$500,000
2040236.1$4,000,000
2041240.0$5,500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2043
REMAINING CONTRACT: $14,400,000
REMAINING AAV: $7,200,000


Aguilar, Jr. has failed to build on his breakout 2040 season, putting up a slash line of .261/.311/.478 that not exactly "Second Coming"-like. That said, Junior will only turn 25 in two months and still has two years of team control. More likely to be extended than traded, the Tropics' first-bagger would make almost any team better and their fanbase happier.


#47 - Ángel Zalapa, Valencia, SS 80/80
PREVIOUS RANK: 10

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2039237.5$8,125,000
2040245.8$10,562,500
2041254.8$12,090,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2047
REMAINING CONTRACT: $158,820,000
REMAINING AAV: $26,470,000


Zalapa didn’t crack the top ten last year despite averaging over 7.0 WAR per season in the last three years. Why? Well, with just one year left of team control there was risk. Now after signing a massive six-year, nearly $160M extension, the shortstop is locked up as Valencia’s premium star. Every team, even Omaha, would take Zalapa but their ability to do so given his contract narrows the field significantly.


#46 - Orlando Ordóñez, Omaha, CF 65/80
PREVIOUS RANK: 17

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2039190.5$500,000
2040205.2$500,000
2041212.4$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $21,600,000
REMAINING AAV: $5,400,000


The former #2 prospect in baseball had a breakout sophomore campaign last year (47 HR, 34 SB and plus-plus defense in center field), earning him top 20 trade value status. However, his follow-up wasn’t what Hawks fans had hoped for. While his power numbers and defense have dipped a hair, the popular outfielder is still an elite young talent yet to have reached his full potential, something Omaha is banking on in the next four seasons of team control.


#45 - Carlomaria Donadoni, Edmonton, 1B 50/80
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203918--minor leagues
204019--minor leagues
204120--minor leagues
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2048
REMAINING CONTRACT: --
REMAINING AAV: --


The lone prospect with no BBA major league experience to crack the top 50, “Short Circuit” has risen to the Brewster’s #2 overall prospect after being drafted 13th overall in 2038. On pace for over 40 homers in AAA this season, Donadoni has the offensive profile and character make-up that teams build their lineups around. Although there’s no shortage of talented first basemen in the Brewster, Donadoni has held his own at 3B, where he can be an even greater asset for Edmonton.


#44 - Dan Cannon, Rockville, SP 65/65
PREVIOUS RANK: 48

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2039308.4$18,000,000
2040317.3$17,000,000
2041328.3$18,000,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $94,000,000
REMAINING AAV: $23,500,000


Sure, Cannon is 32. Sure, scouts don’t exactly see him as an ace. Sure, he’s one of the highest paid players in the entire league. But when you are on pace to win a third straight Nebraska Award in a league starved for pitching, you carry significant value.


#43 - Cris Martínez, San Fernando, LF 65/70
PREVIOUS RANK: NR

YEARAGEWARSALARY
203919--minor leagues
2040201.1$500,000
2041214.3$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $14,100,000
REMAINING AAV: $3,525,000


San Fernando saw two players drop out of the top 50 in Sergei Hopkins and Ángel García, but the addition of Martínez is a welcome sign for the aging team. Martínez has already been traded once in his career, straight up for Feliciano Rafael, a then 27-year-old pitcher just one year removed from winning the Nebraska and heading into free agency.


#42 - Júlio Barajas, Rockville, RF 70/75
PREVIOUS RANK: 23

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2039183.7$500,000
2040193.8$500,000
2038203.5$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2045
REMAINING CONTRACT: $21,200,000
REMAINING AAV: $5,300,000


Part of the 2038 Super Draft, Barajas saw his ceiling tick up a hair by scouts since last year, however he’s yet to breakout as some have expected. The value is still there, however the Chilean outfielder is starting to enter the expensive years of team control.


#41 - Jorge Nevárez, Charm City, SP 60/75
PREVIOUS RANK: 20

YEARAGEWARSALARY
2039212.9$500,000
2040223.0$500,000
2041232.2$500,000
TEAM CONTROL THROUGHH: 2044
REMAINING CONTRACT: $12,000,000
REMAINING AAV: $4,000,000


Nevárez is having the worst season of his young career and it’s looking more and more like his changeup will never develop. All that said, he’s still a twenty-something lefty under team control however his value is likely that of a #3 starter with an injury history, not the potential ace Charm City had hoped for when trading for him in 2035.
"My $#!? doesn't work in the playoffs." - Billy Beane Joe Lederer

User avatar
CTBrewCrew
GB: FL Heartland Division Director
Posts: 5197
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2019 11:20 am
Location: Milford, CT
Has thanked: 925 times
Been thanked: 1337 times

Re: 2041 BBA Trade Value Series: #50-#41

Post by CTBrewCrew » Sun Feb 09, 2020 5:44 pm

Hmmmm...I guess all the Wolves are top 10 🤔

Good stuff
Image

User avatar
RonCo
GB: JL Frontier Division Director
Posts: 19976
Joined: Sat Nov 14, 2015 10:48 pm
Has thanked: 2011 times
Been thanked: 2976 times

Re: 2041 BBA Trade Value Series: #50-#41

Post by RonCo » Sun Feb 09, 2020 5:47 pm

Yay!
GM: Bikini Krill
Nothing Matters But the Pacific Pennant
Roster

User avatar
aaronweiner
BBA GM
Posts: 12054
Joined: Wed Jun 16, 2010 1:56 pm
Has thanked: 53 times
Been thanked: 775 times

Re: 2041 BBA Trade Value Series: #50-#41

Post by aaronweiner » Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:33 am

There are very few lefties with Cannon’s ability.

crobillard
Ex-GM
Posts: 2936
Joined: Wed Mar 05, 2014 7:38 am
Has thanked: 297 times
Been thanked: 240 times

Re: 2041 BBA Trade Value Series: #50-#41

Post by crobillard » Mon Feb 10, 2020 8:18 am

Love this series so much. I’m looking forward to what Donadoni becomes over the next several months. There’s no way I could move him to third unfortunately. I already have a guy there that’s doing alright. I’ve spoken to a lot of people about Donadoni actually. I’m not so sure he could hold down third with extended time. Maybe I’ll find him a chance someday though.

User avatar
RonCo
GB: JL Frontier Division Director
Posts: 19976
Joined: Sat Nov 14, 2015 10:48 pm
Has thanked: 2011 times
Been thanked: 2976 times

Re: 2041 BBA Trade Value Series: #50-#41

Post by RonCo » Mon Feb 10, 2020 11:03 am

Cannon is an interesting case. He's getting to the age where risk begins to be a bigger part of the equation.
GM: Bikini Krill
Nothing Matters But the Pacific Pennant
Roster

User avatar
aaronweiner
BBA GM
Posts: 12054
Joined: Wed Jun 16, 2010 1:56 pm
Has thanked: 53 times
Been thanked: 775 times

Re: 2041 BBA Trade Value Series: #50-#41

Post by aaronweiner » Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:31 pm

Yeah. I'm wondering if he ever gets those balloon payments as part of the salary cap.

Post Reply Previous topicNext topic

Return to “League Features”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests