Playoff Odds Through Midseason 2037
- Lane
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Playoff Odds Through Midseason 2037
Of all the things I enjoy about StatsPlus, my favorite is BaseRuns. So, uh why am I reading a feature about playoff odds, you ask yourself?
Because as much as I love BaseRuns, it's still more of a stat that tells us about what happened than what's going to happen.
Enter Playoffs Odds. Now, I think OOTP had (has?) playoff odds all season, but they looked rather suspect to me. Not sure how much better StatsPlus is, but a) it looks better, and b) it's far easier to download. Don't you just love that little 'CSV' button down below these tables? I digress.
Anyway my point is, it's so much more fun to gaze into the crystal ball (as the AFBI guys put it) than look back.
I think this is a fun way of looking at Playoff odds and I hope you feel the same way. Below, in six charts (one for each division), are playoff odds sim by sim. Going from Sim 1 on the left to Sim 13 on the right.
It's important to note that the first data point here is after Sim 1, and is not a preseason prediction. I'm not sure how exactly to do the math on playoff odds based on the preseason predictions, though I'm sure it could be done.
Enjoy! Feedback is welcome, as I will repeat at the end of the year, and do one for division odds as well.
Because as much as I love BaseRuns, it's still more of a stat that tells us about what happened than what's going to happen.
Enter Playoffs Odds. Now, I think OOTP had (has?) playoff odds all season, but they looked rather suspect to me. Not sure how much better StatsPlus is, but a) it looks better, and b) it's far easier to download. Don't you just love that little 'CSV' button down below these tables? I digress.
Anyway my point is, it's so much more fun to gaze into the crystal ball (as the AFBI guys put it) than look back.
I think this is a fun way of looking at Playoff odds and I hope you feel the same way. Below, in six charts (one for each division), are playoff odds sim by sim. Going from Sim 1 on the left to Sim 13 on the right.
It's important to note that the first data point here is after Sim 1, and is not a preseason prediction. I'm not sure how exactly to do the math on playoff odds based on the preseason predictions, though I'm sure it could be done.
Enjoy! Feedback is welcome, as I will repeat at the end of the year, and do one for division odds as well.
Stephen Lane
Vice Commissioner / Historian
General Manager, Long Beach Surfers
Since 2026
Ex-GM, Amsterdam Neptunes, 2025 EBA Champions
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Re: Playoff Odds Through Midseason 2037
No you're not. You'll be stone dead in a moment.
Ted Schmidt
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Re: Playoff Odds Through Midseason 2037
The Goats were trending the right way for a while but these last two sims have been a kick in the nuts. Ya gotta beat the teams you are supposed to beat, boys!!
Brett "The Brain" Golden
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Re: Playoff Odds Through Midseason 2037
Matt Rectenwald
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Re: Playoff Odds Through Midseason 2037
So just based on the now, it predicts California, Long Beach, and Madison to have the best odds at making the post-season.
I'm still not a believer in my own team. LB and California, sure. If I were a betting man I'd put money on Omaha and Seattle ahead of Madison in the FL at this point.
I'm still not a believer in my own team. LB and California, sure. If I were a betting man I'd put money on Omaha and Seattle ahead of Madison in the FL at this point.
Chris Wilson
LB Surfers 95-96
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JL: 01, 04, 09, 12
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LB Surfers 95-96
FL Pac Champs: 95
Madison Wolves 99-2039
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JL WC: 12
JL: 01, 04, 09, 12
FL Heartland: 32
FL WC: 31, 33
BBA Champs: 04, 09
Portland Lumberjacks 2040-
FL Pacific: 50
FL WC: 49, 51
FL Champs: 49, 51
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- Lane
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Re: Playoff Odds Through Midseason 2037
And here's what the Wild Card races look like. 2nd and 3rd place teams for each league.
Stephen Lane
Vice Commissioner / Historian
General Manager, Long Beach Surfers
Since 2026
Ex-GM, Amsterdam Neptunes, 2025 EBA Champions
Vice Commissioner / Historian
General Manager, Long Beach Surfers
Since 2026
Ex-GM, Amsterdam Neptunes, 2025 EBA Champions
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