Page 1 of 1

2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Sun Dec 30, 2018 5:54 pm
by RonCo
After chatting with Ted the other day, I decided to get out the old defense script, just to take a gander at how the league is doing overall. The older-timers know the deal, but basically, I use a script to run through every game log and parse out defensive plays made in each ball hit in each zone--then I compare how a team is doing vs. the overall league. I can't get down to individual players, but ultimately, the script calculates the number of plays each team has made relative to the number they would have made if they had a league average defense.

Bottom line: right now, Omaha has the leageu's best defense, having made 19 plays more than they would have had they been fielding an average defense. San Antonia, New Mexico, and a Vancouver are a tick behind. The three on the top are doing it heavily with their infield, Vancouver is more of an "around the horn" kind of approach.

On the bottom side, we've got four teams having made 30 fewer plays than if they'd fielded an average club.

Ultimately, these are really early data, and of course, they'll change as personnel moves him and out of each roster.

Still, I thought you all might find it interesting to glance at this stuff again, Maybe compare it to ZR and Eff, and think about what it means--if anything.

BBA PERFORMANCE BY PLAYS MADE ABOVE AVERAGE

TEAMGBFBLD(IF)LD(OF)TOTAL
Omaha Hawks 13.92 5.74 -0.94 0.27 18.99
San Antonio Outlaws 14.59 7.56 -0.25 -5.00 16.91
Mexico City Aztecs 23.26 -7.45 2.55 -1.47 16.89
Vancouver Mounties 7.37 6.66 1.48 1.01 16.52
Louisville Sluggers 9.14 4.17 0.57 -1.13 12.75
Phoenix Talons 16.80 -4.08 -0.17 -0.01 12.54
Brooklyn Robins 5.82 7.37 -0.03 -0.77 12.40
Charm City Jimmies 9.29 0.79 -0.25 1.82 11.66
Calgary Pioneers 2.71 6.05 -1.24 3.67 11.19
Hawaii Tropics 2.17 11.55 -0.03 -2.96 10.74
Twin Cities River Monsters 1.07 7.59 0.73 0.70 10.10
Las Vegas Hustlers 7.88 1.75 -1.21 1.11 9.53
California Crusaders 9.24 -0.51 -0.09 -0.14 8.50
Jacksonville Hurricanes -3.29 8.07 0.33 3.20 8.32
Des Moines Kernels 4.17 4.48 -0.18 -1.79 6.68
New Orleans Crawdads 9.24 -3.34 0.46 0.29 6.65
Nashville Goats 7.93 -2.94 -0.18 1.07 5.88
Long Beach Surfers -7.49 3.82 -0.25 7.71 3.80
Rockville Pikemen -0.87 3.98 -0.27 0.94 3.78
Huntsville Phantoms -1.47 3.16 -1.14 1.61 2.15
Edmonton Jackrabbits -2.66 -7.35 1.67 4.09 -4.26
Seattle Storm -4.76 -2.73 -0.13 1.73 -5.89
San Fernando Bears -9.33 -0.44 -0.12 -1.60 -11.49
Boise Spuds -13.20 1.67 -0.89 0.18 -12.25
Yellow Springs Nine -9.45 -8.73 -0.08 -2.03 -20.30
Valencia Stars -14.77 -3.17 -0.10 -2.43 -20.47
Madison Wolves -28.74 -4.18 -0.37 3.18 -30.12
Montreal Blazers -11.99 -10.23 -0.18 -8.35 -30.76
Altantic City Gamblers -9.23 -23.79 0.75 -2.47 -34.74
Wichita Aviators -27.36 -5.46 -0.43 -2.42 -35.66

Re: 2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Sun Dec 30, 2018 6:03 pm
by jiminyhopkins
Thats strange. My starting OF has three guys (Meyer, Lacaze, and Ripley) all rated at 9 for their position. Surprised to see a negative value for fly balls.

Re: 2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Sun Dec 30, 2018 6:33 pm
by felipe
lol

defense is apparently overrated

or maybe

will average out over the season

Re: 2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Sun Dec 30, 2018 7:18 pm
by GoldenOne
Nashville gets burned by the lack of range in the corner OF guys. IF should be better actually. For some reason, couple of guys in the IF are already below their career fielding percentages.

Re: 2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Sun Dec 30, 2018 8:06 pm
by RonCo
The words "small sample size" apply.

Re: 2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Sun Dec 30, 2018 8:08 pm
by 7teen
Can’t say I’m surprised by Madison. I knew going in that my defense was likely going to be real bad and figured I’d roll the dice with a bad defense in order to field the best offense I could.

So far, I’m happy with the results so going to keep rolling with it. I’ll take playing over .500 ball if it means a bad defense. It beats where we were last year.

Now does it balance out over the long run, maybe. But i think it gives Madison the better chance to win so.......

Re: 2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2018 10:48 am
by RonCo
More fun...

BATTER PERFORMANCE:
2037-may-hitting.PNG

Re: 2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2018 10:51 am
by RonCo
BOISE INDIVIDUAL HITTERS:
2037-boise-may.PNG

Re: 2037 Defense Through Mid-May

Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2018 7:41 pm
by Lane
RonCo wrote:
Mon Dec 31, 2018 10:48 am
More fun...

BATTER PERFORMANCE:

2037-may-hitting.PNG
ugh. guess i need more guys that put the ball in the air