Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

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Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by DugoutDesperado » Mon May 18, 2020 10:13 pm

Using an in-depth, double-secret probation, classified analysis; the Canes analytics department used season stats, head-to-head records, rock/paper/scissors and other tried and true methods to determine the probabilities of the various teams in the Frick League.

Without further suspense, here they are:

Louisville 29%
Yellow Springs 27
Twin Cities 18
Omaha 11
California 9
Chicago 3
Hawaii 2
Nashville 1


Feel free to let the second-guessing and debates begin. ;)
Last edited by DugoutDesperado on Tue May 19, 2020 10:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by jleddy » Mon May 18, 2020 10:25 pm

Your methods are questionable. You can borrow my copy of Gray's Sports Almanac (2000-2050) if you want.
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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by shoeless.db » Tue May 19, 2020 7:55 am

So, you're saying I have a chance.
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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by niles08 » Tue May 19, 2020 8:15 am

The fact that California isn't dead last with Hawaii makes this not so believable. With Yellow Springs having a 27% chance, does that mean a 73% chance of getting knocked out in the first round in walk-off fashion?
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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by DugoutDesperado » Tue May 19, 2020 8:58 am

niles08 wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 8:15 am
The fact that California isn't dead last with Hawaii makes this not so believable. With Yellow Springs having a 27% chance, does that mean a 73% chance of getting knocked out in the first round in walk-off fashion?
Only if you call the first round the Landis and fake them out.

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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by DugoutDesperado » Tue May 19, 2020 11:52 am

niles08 wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 8:15 am
The fact that California isn't dead last with Hawaii makes this not so believable. With Yellow Springs having a 27% chance, does that mean a 73% chance of getting knocked out in the first round in walk-off fashion?
I believe Nashville being below Hawaii and California has more to do with Nashville having to do better against Louisville than what Chicago has to do with Des Moines just to get into the playoffs. But it could also be that the trained monkey taking notes was distracted during the rock/paper/scissors phase.

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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by CTBrewCrew » Tue May 19, 2020 11:54 am

Uhhhhh I don't see Madison on there... so YEAH, there a flaw ;)
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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by DugoutDesperado » Tue May 19, 2020 12:00 pm

Just keep scrolling - it is a few lines above Jacksonville if I were guessing :)

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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by shoeless.db » Tue May 19, 2020 12:17 pm

I really can't wait to win the Landis this year.
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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by RonCo » Tue May 19, 2020 5:24 pm

27% chance of the ultimate disaster.

Again.
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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by DugoutDesperado » Tue May 19, 2020 7:28 pm

The Buffalo Bills of the Landis and you are Marv Levy

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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by DugoutDesperado » Tue May 19, 2020 10:04 pm

The bottom two teams on the probability list are gone as of this sim. Yet California remains. ;) Is the note-taking monkey more credible than originally thought?

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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by 7teen » Wed May 20, 2020 4:01 pm

Give me Louisville at +300 please.

Yellow Springs should be +2000 even at this point! Haha
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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by DugoutDesperado » Wed May 20, 2020 4:27 pm

Is it just me or is every Johnson League team rooting for Yellow Springs to make it to the Landis? :)

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Re: Frickin Odds for 2042 Landis Appearance

Post by RonCo » Wed May 20, 2020 4:31 pm

et tu Brute?
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