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2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2019 1:40 pm
by RonCo
Hey, guys...now that the UMEBA is getting it's momentum going and everything, I'm taking some time to make my various scripts a bit more robust--which means I'm testing...which means UMEBA comes first. :) Bottom line, I've taken the first two weeks of data from our UMEBA game logs and re-done things to make the automation extend out to everyone. So, what you have in your hands is a hot-off-the presses take on UMEBA defense.

For the newbies, I do this by scanning every game log, parsing data on each plate appearance for zones and Batted ball types. Then I do some math and develop a framework that compares the defense your team is actually playing on the field to what your league average would look like. The "Plays Above Average" is just that...given the balls in play your pitchers are allowing, how is your defense turning them into outs relative to the league average.

Pretty simple, eh?

What this script can't do today is to chase it down to individual players. All I can say, for example, is that for ground balls hit into zone 6, here are the number your guys (whoever has played) have turned into outs, and here are how many the league is averaging....blah, blah, blah.

I'll update this over the year, but for now, here's the UMEBA data:

UMEBA DEFENSE BY PLAYS MADE ABOVE AVERAGE
TEAMGBFBLD(IF)LD(OF)TOTAL
Bucharest Impalers3.72.70.0-0.46.0
Cairo Chariot Archers BC3.80.90.00.95.6
Baghdad Kings5.2-0.80.00.24.5
Manama Pearls-1.43.00.00.21.8
Jerusalem Hebrew Hammers-0.20.30.00.80.9
Mumbai Metro Stars0.1-3.60.00.5-3.0
Beirut Cedars-6.84.20.0-2.0-4.6
Istanbul Bosphorus-4.4-6.60.0-0.2-11.2
League0.00.00.00.00.0
You can note that to date the IF LD columns are zero. That's because there's been only one line drive hit in the infield so far in your two weeks of games, and it has gone for a base hit--at least that's the case if my script is working properly. :)

More testing will be done.

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2019 10:05 pm
by allenciox
Wow! Trey cool...

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Thu Jul 18, 2019 4:17 pm
by RonCo
Updated!

Bucharest with the kick-ass OF, Cairo and Baghdad tops on the dirt....



BBA DEFENSE BY PLAYS MADE ABOVE AVERAGE: 6/9/2039
TEAMGBFBLD(IF)LD(OF)TOTAL
Cairo Chariot Archers BC18.01.90.07.127.0
Baghdad Kings18.40.71.0-3.516.7
Bucharest Impalers4.711.61.5-3.913.9
Manama Pearls-7.37.7-1.1-0.4-1.1
Mumbai Metro Stars1.6-6.1-0.32.0-2.8
Beirut Cedars-19.67.2-1.23.5-10.1
Jerusalem Hebrew Hammers-10.8-2.6-0.1-2.2-15.6
Istanbul Bosphorus-5.1-20.40.1-2.7-28.0

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Thu Jul 18, 2019 7:23 pm
by bschr682
Wow between our terrible infield defense and horrific record in 1 run games, I guess it makes sense we are scuffling so bad.

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2019 10:54 am
by RonCo
Updated for end of month...

UMEBA DEFENSE BY PLAYS MADE ABOVE AVERAGE: 6/27/2039
TEAMGBFBLD(IF)LD(OF)TOTAL
Cairo Chariot Archers BC16.35.30.57.629.7
Bucharest Impalers13.118.20.8-5.826.3
Baghdad Kings17.67.11.4-1.424.7
Mumbai Metro Stars5.6-9.2-0.90.5-4.0
Manama Pearls-13.76.1-0.8-1.6-9.9
Beirut Cedars-20.20.6-0.84.9-15.6
Jerusalem Hebrew Hammers-15.1-3.8-0.8-1.2-21.0
Istanbul Bosphorus-3.6-24.30.6-3.0-30.3
League00000

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2019 1:12 pm
by bschr682
Negative numbers are better right!? Like golf...

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Wed Aug 07, 2019 4:20 pm
by RonCo
Updated through this sim...

BBA DEFENSE BY PLAYS MADE ABOVE AVERAGE: 8/3/2039
TEAMGBFBLD(IF)LD(OF)TOTAL
Cairo Chariot Archers BC17.457.491.139.7835.85
Baghdad Kings24.981.481.55-0.1527.86
Bucharest Impalers7.4517.56-1.16-5.1818.67
Mumbai Metro Stars7.17-5.66-0.703.143.95
Beirut Cedars-18.103.230.155.55-9.18
Manama Pearls-17.939.10-0.62-4.08-13.53
Jerusalem Hebrew Hammers-7.53-14.12-1.12-2.92-25.69
Istanbul Bosphorus-13.49-19.080.77-6.14-37.93
League00000

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:43 am
by Fat Nige
Well, I'm quite pleased that my defense first policy seems to be working, just need everything else to drop in place now. Only 17-14 in 1-run games & 4-6 in extra innings. Hopefully next season's planned reduction in team age might help that a bit

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Fri Aug 16, 2019 12:47 pm
by RonCo
BBA DEFENSE BY PLAYS MADE ABOVE AVERAGE: 8/31/2039
TEAMGBFBLD(IF)LD(OF)TOTAL
Cairo Chariot Archers BC29.44.92.011.247.4
Bucharest Impalers11.523.9-1.1-4.829.5
Baghdad Kings20.36.32.3-0.228.8
Mumbai Metro Stars1.9-5.0-0.93.3-0.6
Beirut Cedars-14.64.70.16.4-3.3
Jerusalem Hebrew Hammers-8.5-12.2-1.1-4.1-25.9
Manama Pearls-24.21.8-1.8-3.6-27.8
Istanbul Bosphorus-15.9-24.30.6-8.3-47.9
League00000
Beruit nearly positive...Mumbai slipping a little.

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Fri Aug 16, 2019 3:25 pm
by ThePreyingManta
Adding Gowron and McDaniel into the starting OF definitely hasn't helped our defense.

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:30 pm
by RonCo
With one game to go...

BBA DEFENSE BY PLAYS MADE ABOVE AVERAGE: 10/5/2039
TEAMGBFBLD(IF)LD(OF)TOTAL
Cairo Chariot Archers BC35.65.41.814.857.6
Bucharest Impalers7.625.2-2.3-1.229.3
Baghdad Kings19.23.93.3-2.224.2
Beirut Cedars-9.29.00.04.74.6
Mumbai Metro Stars3.1-2.7-1.20.0-0.8
Manama Pearls-24.211.1-1.9-3.0-18.0
Jerusalem Hebrew Hammers-2.9-18.9-0.3-3.8-25.8
Istanbul Bosphorus-29.2-33.00.5-9.3-71.0
League00000

Re: 2039 - UMEBA PAA!

Posted: Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:44 pm
by RonCo
And, just to be sure everyone's aware...

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