Here are players who all are on their 2nd of seven seasons of eligibility:
| BBA HOF Voting | Yr 1 | Yr 2 | Yr 3 | Yr 4 | Yr 5 | Yr 6 | Yr 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lee | 13.2% | ||||||
| Bill Constable | 7.9% | ||||||
| Lineu Aldo | 47.4% | ||||||
| Kidane Ata | 23.7% | ||||||
| Adam Backhouse | 31.6% | ||||||
| Fernando Castillo | 39.5% | ||||||
| Eduardo Gonzalez | 71.1% | ||||||
| Tomas Guillen | 10.5% | ||||||
| Pedro Huerta | 21.1% | ||||||
| Girolamo L'Archibudelli | 7.9% | ||||||
| Andre Ly | 39.5% | ||||||
| Fernando Moreno | 47.5% |
I think this will be one of the most interesting classes to watch. I think it’s almost certain that Constable, Lee, Guillen and L’Arch are about as certain to fall off the ballot as it’s possible to be certain.
After that there’s nothing but question marks.
Eduardo Gonzalez almost made it in his first year, but that was in a class smaller than this one. Common wisdom would have said he’d probably edge in this year, but the floodgates opening make it a reasonable bet that his 71% will slide down a rung or two. Who’s to say?
The voters, that’s who.
The voters will also be sorting through all these guys who sat at 20%-50% in their first year. How real were those numbers? Could Huerta and Ata actually slide far enough to drop off the list? Will Aldo, Ly, or Moreno gain a little air beneath their wings?
Predictions:
This will be fun. I’ve got my popcorn out.
